PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile
PlanB

@100trillionusd

All models are wrong, but some are useful

ID: 918804624303382528

linkhttps://planbtc.com/ calendar_today13-10-2017 11:44:27

12,12K Tweet

2,1M Followers

179 Following

PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Bitcoin has tracked powerlaw very well. Question is: will we see a 2013,2017,2021-like bull run with RSI 80+ (red dots) and if so how high will BTC go from here, 100x like 2013, 10x like 2017, 4x like 2021, or 2x (to ~$200k) like most people think, or .. 5-10x in line with S2F?

Bitcoin has tracked powerlaw very well.
Question is: will we see a 2013,2017,2021-like bull run with RSI 80+ (red dots) and if so how high will BTC go from here, 100x like 2013, 10x like 2017, 4x like 2021, or 2x (to ~$200k) like most people think, or .. 5-10x in line with S2F?
Adam Back (@adam3us) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Brad Mills 🔑⚡️ Michael Saylor or alternatively it could be a transition period for a parabolic break out! 🟩🟩🟩🟩 where the S-cuver gets steeper, invalidating "diminishing return" theory, and breaking power-law, and then s2f models to the upside. that's my what-if anyway.

PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Adoption S-curve only steepens on linear scale (red line). It looks like "the vertical" between 10% and 90% adoption is where all the action is. On log scale there is no vertical (blue line). Only exponential growth, until ~50% adoption: 1% -> 2% -> 4% -> 8% -> 16% -> 32% etc.

Adoption S-curve only steepens on linear scale (red line). It looks like "the vertical" between 10% and 90% adoption is where all the action is.

On log scale there is no vertical (blue line). Only exponential growth, until ~50% adoption: 1% -> 2% -> 4% -> 8% -> 16% -> 32% etc.
PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Just to confirm bitcoin is still in a bull market🔴 I see some people turning bearish and shorting, but the data tells a different story, a bullish story IMO. We just need some patience.

Just to confirm bitcoin is still in a bull market🔴
I see some people turning bearish and shorting, but the data tells a different story, a bullish story IMO. We just need some patience.
PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Bitcoin is so much more than just technology adoption. Note that the main reason why bitcoin was made is debasement, i.e. fiat money printing by central banks, resulting in (hyper)inflation and fiat money debasement.

Bitcoin is so much more than just technology adoption.
Note that the main reason why bitcoin was made is debasement, i.e. fiat money printing by central banks, resulting in (hyper)inflation and fiat money debasement.
PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Bitcoin is at an interesting point in time: RSI 70. Traditional investors use a 30-70 RSI range, so they start to get worried that BTC is overbought now. BTC investors on the other hand know that normal BTC RSI range is 40-90, so RSI 70 is only slightly above the average (65)🚀

Bitcoin is at an interesting point in time: RSI 70. Traditional investors use a 30-70 RSI range, so they start to get worried that BTC is overbought now. BTC investors on the other hand know that normal BTC RSI range is 40-90, so RSI 70 is only slightly above the average (65)🚀
PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

FYI: I still believe that bitcoin average price will be ~$0.5m this halving cycle (2024-2028). Note that S2F prediction is very rough (obviously because the prediction is made only using scarcity/S2F-ratio) with a $0.25m-$1m range (so $0.3m or $0.6m average would also be fine).

PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

⚠️ My email account 100trillionusd@protonmail is HACKED!! All email from this account since July 5 is NOT ME !! If you have communicated with me via protonmail, assume the hackers have your email address and the emails. Of course I will not be using protonmail in the future.

⚠️ My email account 100trillionusd@protonmail is HACKED!!

All email from this account since July 5 is NOT ME !!

If you have communicated with me via protonmail, assume the hackers have your email address and the emails.

Of course I will not be using protonmail in the future.
PlanB (@100trillionusd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Follow-up since I informed/warned about the hack : I got my email account back! Proton acted very professionally and froze the account immediately after my report, so the hackers couldn't access the account anymore. Also, damage seems minimal, because Proton encrypts email