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Unusual amount of leverage in Round 11's #AFLBluesGiants. GWS are rated a 70% chance of finals if they win, 45% if they lose. Carlton's swing is between 35% and 15%. Not quite an elimination final in May, but certainly an eight-pointer. Follow at liveladders.com/AFL/

Great work by @FreoDockers to re-attach themselves to the back of the peloton. It's a clear Top 9 now, with a three-game projected gap to 10th and Hawthorn the most vulnerable

How unfair is the AFLW's fixture? The spread of expected wins between the hardest and easiest opponent sets is about twice as big as the AFLM, relative to season length.

The 2025 #AFLW fixture is in the database, and we'll have live-updating season sims from August 14th there too liveladders.com/AFLW

Peak #analytics

Exciting new feature in the team expansion! liveladders.com/AFL/ Well, perhaps not exciting for Carlton who need to win 7 of 8 to be better than 50-50 to make finals

On the ESPN Footy Podcast, those vested interests and people with poor attention spans are again pushing the AFL finals wildcard idea. And here (again) is why it's a bad one. The ESPN Footy Podcast FULL EPISODE: linktr.ee/ESPNFootyPod

Confident swill from grok. Why is every AI tech foisted into our lives so unready?

This Week In Football we have: Joe Simpkin looks at the winning the close ones Me on How a 186cm Full Forward? Emlyn Breese looking at stat and margin correlations And HPN comparing this year’s finals race to past seasons thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-21-…