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DOHA, Qatar (AP) — Qatari and Hamas officials say a ceasefire has been reached to pause Israel's war in Gaza and release dozens of hostages.

I am *thrilled* to share that Andrew Mangan and I will write a weekly polling column for Daily Kos. This is our first piece, which reviewed why the GOP suddenly thinks the economy is doing OK and who supports Trump’s tariffs, among other things. dailykos.com/stories/2025/1…

Everything’s a conspiracy theory when you’re a fucking moron.

Congrats to congressional Republicans who will now have to defend the claim that DEI led to a deadly plane crash

Relatedly, from our Q&A with Shakir, he told me that other chair candidates treated labor groups “as a special interest group within the party.” He added: “I don’t see it that way. If you’re a working-class party, labor is the ethos that governs all.” dailykos.com/stories/2025/1…

A refreshingly (?) short newsletter for a change. Democrats need to pick a direction; the middle ground of separating the world into naughty and nice billionaires is probably the worst option. natesilver.net/p/democrats-ne…

damn. end of an era. ABC completely fumbled a real jewel.

FiveThirtyEight has been — by far — the best data journalism site out there for years. Methodologically rigorous, transparent, phenomenal data viz & analysis. There will leave a gaping hole in the political data & polling world. They deserve so much better than this.

Sad news: Rep. Sylvester Turner, D-Texas, who won the seat of the late Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee, died last night.

Just a reminder that all the data FiveThirtyEight collected—polls, election results, and much more—is available for download (for now) on our GitHub page. github.com/fivethirtyeight

ABC News has now fully taken down the old 538 archives, including all interactive projects since 2014. Aside from erasing history this prevents access to publicly released data, including polls/models and all story data. Totally unacceptable and a real betrayal of the public

What in the actual what theatlantic.com/politics/archi…

Curious decision to voluntarily leave the chat imo. Deserves more explanation. Obviously a good story but leave feeling like what we learned feels small compared to what we could’ve. theatlantic.com/politics/archi…

Breaking: Read the Signal messages. theatlantic.com/politics/archi…

Wild what you can do as a senator in your 50s

womp womp

Hi everyone — I was laid off from my job on Friday If you know of any open opportunities in polling or market research (full-time or contracts/consulting), please let me know. I have 12 years of experience in the industry If you don’t, please consider reposting/sharing Thanks!

No Democrat should celebrating this massive overreach of presidential authority. It is long overdue that Congress reclaim its war powers.

lol that was fast