Antony Green - elections (@antonygreenelec) 's Twitter Profile
Antony Green - elections

@antonygreenelec

Election Analyst with ABC but all opinions and tweets are my own views. Keen bike rider. I block people who flood my timeline with posts.

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linkhttps://antonygreen.com.au/ calendar_today20-02-2010 09:07:50

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Labor has retained the northern Melbourne seat of Calwell. A strong flow of preferences to Labor on the exclusion of the Greens candidate leaves Independent Carly Moore needing and improbable 90% of Liberal preferences to win.

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More than two-thirds of preferences flowed to Labor on the exclusion of the Greens candidate leaving Labor the clear victor in the battle for Calwell.

More than two-thirds of preferences flowed to Labor on the exclusion of the Greens candidate leaving Labor the clear victor in the battle for Calwell.
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Here's a wrap of the Calwell preference distribution that is conforming that Labor will retain the seat delivering the re-elected Albanese government a 94th seat. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-calwel


Here's a wrap of the Calwell preference distribution that is conforming that Labor will retain the seat delivering the re-elected Albanese government a 94th seat. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-calwel

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Distribution over in Calwell and Labor's Basem Abdo wins with 55.1% after preferences against Independent Carly Moore. About a third of preferences flowed to Labor on the exclusion of the Liberal candidate.

Distribution over in Calwell and Labor's Basem Abdo wins with 55.1% after preferences against Independent Carly Moore. About a third of preferences flowed to Labor on the exclusion of the Liberal candidate.
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A trawl through the distribution of preferences in the South Australian Senate race where One Nation were unable to close the gap on Labor in the race for the final seat. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-south-


A trawl through the distribution of preferences in the South Australian Senate race where One Nation were unable to close the gap on Labor in the race for the final seat. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-south-

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Why One Nation’s Senate victories show that the 2016 Senate electoral reforms were right. The two One Nation victories are the first for a trailing candidate at a state half-Senate election since the reforms were introduced. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-why-on


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A wrap of Labor's dominant position in South Australia at the Federal election, results that are bad news for the Liberal Party ahead of next year's state election. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-south-


A wrap of Labor's dominant position in South Australia at the Federal election, results that are bad news for the Liberal Party ahead of next year's state election. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-south-

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A look at Labor's big victory in Tasmania at the Federal election. Does it offer a guide for how an Tasmanian state election might unfold? Probably not. More here antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-tasman


A look at Labor's big victory in Tasmania at the Federal election. Does it offer a guide for how an Tasmanian state election might unfold? Probably not. More here antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-tasman

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A lower level of involvement by me this time but the ABC election guide for the 2025 Tasmanian election guide is up and published here. abc.net.au/news/elections


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A wrap of the Federal election results in Western Australia, Labor winning two seats more than in 2022 but lucky to hang on to Fremantle against an Independent challenger. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-wester


A wrap of the Federal election results in Western Australia, Labor winning two seats more than in 2022 but lucky to hang on to Fremantle against an Independent challenger. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-wester