The U.S. Gov uses prediction markets themselves - DARPA spent millions studying them - The CIA uses them to forecast global events Yet they're raiding innovators for building the same thing The truth? Prediction markets are unstoppable...

This is the greatest video I’ve ever seen. It’s deep and true but also high comedy.

Augur Lituus Hey there 👋 Thanks for the heads-up! We currently have Augur and Augur v2, but the team will review any new updates and determine if any delistings need to be reconsidered 🤝 📲 We will plan ahead for any changes, so please stay updated by following our blog. Harley 🐙

Augur Lituus 💜 🤝 🐙

Are you a Superforecaster®? Join our 10th annual forecasting challenge with The Economist to find out! Forecast on key events of 2025 from The World Ahead 2025 (economist.com/topics/the-wor…) for a chance to be featured in the publication.🏆 #GJOpen gjopen.com/challenges/108…

Listen to the full episode about prediction markets: a16zcrypto.com/posts/podcast/…

I have often been an econ futurist, estimating the consequences of foreseeable tech. (See Age of Em.) And I've invented a new governance tech: futarchy. But until today, I'd never apply my futurist skills to this particular tech scenario. Until today: overcomingbias.com/p/futarchy-fut…

"Prediction Markets... like Augur" timbeiko.eth thanks for the shoutout!

wen Nick Szabo return?

Just finished Animoca’s 30-page Polymarket report Here’s the alpha: 1. Big Players Are Watching Bloomberg is already integrating Polymarket odds into their terminal—but that’s just the start Hedge funds and algos are using it for quant strategies and to inform their moves in

Couldn’t fit all the alpha here — go check out the full report yourself Don’t miss page 23 (SWOT) 👀 Full report by: bit.ly/4eOvz9l Kudos to Animoca Brands Research

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Augur Micah Zoltu Alex Chapman | achapman.eth Killari Interested to see more of what you have cooked up though and glad to see someone picking this up! Hard to believe it's been 10 years since the 6 of us started working on Augur!

Ethereum Foundation Why are these not "strategic goals"? * Improving censorship resistance. * Improving end-user security. * Improving end-user privacy. Prioritizing scaling without any talk of CR, Security, and Privacy other than a hat tip in the opening line is incredibly concerning to me.

fun fact: Grayscale invests in a fork of a fork of Zcash called Horizen (ZEN). This is a fork of Zclassic, which is a fork of Zcash, to remove the 20% dev tax in the block rewards.

Augur Lituus Ragnarok IMPERATOR んののやラ&んのりレ⚡️ "Not only should you disagree with others, but you should disagree with yourself. Totalitarian thought asks us to consider, much less accept, only one hypothesis at a time. By contrast quantum thought, as I call it -- although it already has a traditional name less recognizable

Shayne Coplan, a Gen Z college dropout, started Polymarket five years ago. Now, he's a billionaire, and his online prediction market is valued at $9 billion. Anderson Cooper reports, Sunday.