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If crackdowns on criminal groups often backfires in cities, imagine in the Amazon. As Brazil's army pulls back from a mission it never wanted—clearing illegal miners from indigenous land—they are coming back stronger, smarter, and more brazen. reuters.com/investigates/s…

What a difference functional political institutions make. Bolsonaro barred from next election, now Fed Police seized his passport as criminal charges escalate. "Forget about me," he says, "Someone else is running the country now." & Trump rules GOP. Sad! reuters.com/world/americas…

Intended to fight crime, Latin American prisons have instead become safe havens and recruitment centers for gangs, fueling a surge in violence. nyti.ms/4bEifEl

Join us on February 27 at 1:30 p.m. ET in the #FragilityForum by the World Bank to discover how #LatAm and the #Caribbean can respond effectively to the dynamic #Crime and #Violence challenges. Don't miss out on evidence-based strategies to build safer communities!

Join us on Tuesday, February 27, at 1:30 p.m. ET at the World Bank's #FragilityForum to discover how #LatAm and the #Caribbean can respond more effectively to #Crime and #Violence challenges. Don't miss evidence-based strategies to build safer communities! Sign up here:

I'm excited to be tackling the challenges of #CriminalGovernance tomorrow at World Bank 's and Inter-American Development Bank 'a #FragilityForum with Joana Monteiro, Santiago Tobón Rodrigo Serrano-Berthet et al Criminal governance lies hidden in plain sight, but it's growing andwe ignore it at our peril.

Why do crackdowns on drug cartels and gangs only make criminal violence worse? Because they don't create the right incentives. Conditional repression is a better--though harder--approach. My take in The Economist HT to Ana Lankes for making this happen! economist.com/by-invitation/…

Focused deterrence “starts with police identifying and meeting the local criminal groups most likely to commit violence”, writes Benjamin Lessing. But it “alone won’t solve Latin America’s woes”, explains the political scientist in a guest essay econ.st/3LZlzhv

NY Times p1 from Wednesday, November 9, 2016. Good times.

If social scientists learn one thing from 2024, it is that close, as-if-random elections totally suck