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Devizes East (Wiltshire) council election result: LDEM: 35.8% (+13.7) CON: 29.2% (-21.7) REF: 26.2% (+26.2) LAB: 4.6% (-12.1) GRN: 4.3% (-6.0) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative. newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

Reform was understated in the model. A fumble on our part on a grand scale, no question. Other question might be if the polls are doing likewise. Or LE2025 results came down to differential turnout. But we got the Runcorn by-election pretty much bang on, better than all the

Pretty much same as 2021. You can make a top-down argument that it's just votes changing parties. That is happening. But it tells less than half the story. It may be more so down to apathetic 2024 Con/Lab voters staying home, and Ref turning out more previously non-voters. Polls

Ramsgate (Kent) council election result: REF: 40.2% (+40.2) GRN: 26.9% (-0.3) LAB: 18.4% (-11.7) CON: 10.6% (-22.6) LDEM: 3.8% (+1.3) Reform GAIN from Conservative. Was Labour in 2017, Ukip in 2013. newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

The Andrew's Previews debrief of the 1st May local elections is now up, containing a discussion of everything that happened on Thursday plus the winner of the Result Which Made My Jaw Drop award! Find out if you won at andrewteale.me.uk/previews

LE2025: every ward, every swing, almost there... newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

Look at these, party vote share by ward/division newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

Who gained where in this year's local elections? newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

Our LE2025 post-match analysis, tonight @ 7pm Catch it on x.com/britainelects or youtube.com/@britainelects

Britain Elects LIVE | 2025 Local Elections (post-match analysis) ft. co-founder Ben Walker (@bwalker.uk) britainelects.com x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

All local election results (complete with maps charting party support seat-by-seat) are now available on the New Statesman website: newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

How Labour lost Runcorn 👉 britainelects.com

The Conservatives have one last advantage against Reform — just newstatesman.com/politics/polli…

Has Labour bungled welfare reform? newstatesman.com/politics/polli…

Eyes on this please. newstatesman.com/politics/polli…

Conservatives now lead* Labour on the economy 👉 britainelects.com *ignoring the 53% for neither

📊 Ref lead of 10pts Westminster voting intention REF: 32% (+9) LAB: 22% (-4) CON: 19% (-5) LDEM: 13% (-1) GRN: 9% (+1) via BMG Research, 06 - 08 May Chgs. w/ 27 Mar britainelects.com

One week on from #LE2025 The Britain Predicts model proved better than the rest newstatesman.com/politics/polli…

One week on from #LE2025 Our local election forecast was a disaster. It understated Reform in every quarter. Here's what we learned: newstatesman.com/politics/polli…

The most important chart of this year's local elections newstatesman.com/politics/polli…