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Review article led by Brooke Anderson & co-authors Andrea Schumacher, Center for Climate & Weather Extremes's @Climate_Done,& Jim Hurrell on how developments in climate epidemiology & science pose new opportunities to project health impacts of floods & tropical cyclones in changing climate. link.springer.com/article/10.100…

New insights into the sub-seasonal predictability of North American Monsoon precipitation via research led by Center for Climate & Weather Extremes scientist Andy Prein and featuring C3WE co-authors Erin Towler and Ming Ge (just published by AGU (American Geophysical Union)). agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…

The authors find that by leveraging information about daily-scale moisture surges in NAM region, the ECMWF seasonal ensemble is capable of yielding skillful predictions of monsoon season precipitation at basin scale that are not apparent by considering raw precip output alone.

New work led by Center for Climate & Weather Extremes's @Climate_Done, along with Gary Lackmann and Andy Prein, finds that hurricane-strength tropical cyclones have strengthened at twice the rate of weaker storms (per unit surface) in a warming climate over the past ~40 years. wcd.copernicus.org/articles/3/693…

Idealized model simulations by Done et al. 2022 suggest that increased thermal disequilibrium, rather than changes in thermal efficiency, is responsible for much of the projected increase in global tropical cyclone intensity this century. wcd.copernicus.org/articles/3/693…

New work on tropical cyclone projections for the east coast of Australia using CESM (both decadal and traditional large ensembles) led by Center for Climate & Weather Extremes scientist Cindy Bruyere and including @Climate_Done, @AbbyJaye, & Erin Towler. (1/3) sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

The authors leverage large ensemble approach to obtain larger sample size, and find that #ClimateChange brings about a large increase in the maximum windspeed and precipitation intensities associated with tropical cyclones in Southwest Pacific Basin. (2/3) sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Current size of #Ian's eye and eyewall, compared with Charley's in 2004 when it was in a similar location approaching the coast #flwx

New book co-edited by Jennifer Collins and Center for Climate & Weather Extremes scientist @Climate_Done: Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate (with foreword by Prof Michael E. Mann)! (1/2) link.springer.com/book/10.1007/9…

For folks asking how this compares to our hypothetical "ARkStorm 2.0" scenarios published, a very approximate estimate: we've so far experienced about 1/3 to 1/2 the precipitation we'd expect from such a scenario on a statewide basis. #CAwx #CAwater [1/2] science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…

New work led by @edougherty_ and featuring Center for Climate & Weather Extremes scientist Andy Prein explores the (substantial) intensification of heavy rainfall from mesoscale convective systems in a warming climate using ensembles of high resolution simulations. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/20…

How should climate modeling and catastrophe modeling be combined to understand evolving risk? If you know (part of) the answer, check out the session convened by @Climate_Done, @scottstgeorge and suz tolwinski-ward at #AGU23. Abstract submissions: agu.confex.com/agu/fm23/preli…