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For my money there’s nobody better at synthesizing the policy implications of Ukraine military, diplomatic & political developments than Carnegie’s Eric Ciaramella. Listen to Eric’s latest assessment in conversation with Ben Wittes on The Lawfare Podcast podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…

Happening now: Dara Massicot and Eric Ciaramella in conversation with Aaron David Miller. What do the next few months look like for #Ukraine? Register below. carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/09…

The Kremlin faces “a complex challenge” to reconstitute its military after the war in Ukraine. Dara Massicot investigates how #Russia intends to restore its losses and learn from its mistakes. carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/…

🇷🇺 What is Russia's role in the Middle East & North Africa? Russia remains a key security player in the Mashreq & Israel. In Iran, it led in arms exports & bilateral interactions, though it lagged behind China in trade. For more ➡️ carnegieendowment.org/features/navig…

How many ships serve Russian oil trade? Is there an exclusive fleet? How old are these ships? How does that compare to the state of the global tanker fleet in general? What about oil spills? Please find the answers in this new article. carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia…

Last week, Evan A. Feigenbaum, rick waters, Eugene Rumer and Eric Ciaramella participated in the the 2024 #US-#China Track II dialogue held at CISS. The delegation had in-depth discussions with Chinese scholars including DA Wei @Tsinghua 达巍 on US-China relations and the #RussiaUkraineWar.

#Russia is surging defense spending for 2025, intending to raise the military’s size to 1.5 mil. billets. But as @massdara notes, Russia faces structural constraints and trade-offs that will complicate the Kremlin’s efforts to rebuild its military. carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/…

🇷🇺 What does Russia's influence look like in the Maghreb? In some countries like Libya, Russia has "successfully exploited regimes' frustrations with the West." In other nations like Algeria, local leaders have resisted deepening ties, writes Frederic Wehrey ⬇️ carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/…

For those interested, a look at different aspects of Russian military adaptation in 2023. Focused on ground forces. carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/…

“Russia has turned to the Middle East when its relationship with the West imploded in the wake of its aggression against Ukraine.” Andrew S. Weiss and Eugene Rumer investigate the implications and trace Russia's history in the region. carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/…

My new article in Carnegie Endowment on lessons from the 2014-15 Minsk ceasefire agreements between Ukraine and Russia and how to minimize the security and policy risks that may accompany a potential new agreement. carnegieendowment.org/research/2025/…

As the Trump administration draws closer to negotiations with Ukraine and Russia, Mykhailo Soldatenko’s newest offers lessons from previous failed attempts to reach a peaceful conclusion in the region. Read below: carnegieendowment.org/research/2025/…

As negotiations between the United States and Russia threaten to leave Kyiv on the sidelines, Eric Ciaramella and Eric Green argue securing Ukraine’s postwar sovereignty is essential for continued European security. cfr.org/report/ukraine…

Ciaramella and Green: Europe should expect “greater financial and material obligations for Ukraine’s and their own security.” Meanwhile, the U.S. should “sustain key areas of military aid to Ukraine and back Kyiv’s postwar NATO membership.” cfr.org/report/ukraine…

To end the war without anchoring Ukraine in NATO is to leave Kyiv “in a perpetual security vacuum”, write Eric Ciaramella and Eric Greene. More below: cfr.org/report/ukraine…

Why has the diplomacy surrounding the war in Ukraine been so messy, as of late? Michael Kofman weighs in for War on the Rocks. Listen here: warontherocks.com/2025/02/the-pu…

An update on the war following a recent trip. The situation has improved compared with Fall 2024. Russian offensive momentum slowed significantly over the winter, though it is premature to claim that the front has stabilized, especially following AFU withdrawal in Kursk. /1

Russia’s threats to Europe beyond Ukraine may not materialize in the near (or even medium) term. But that doesn’t mean an attack is impossible. Europe and the U.S. need to take this possibility seriously, says Dara Massicot. 📺See her full interview with Bianna Golodryga on

The war in Ukraine has dominated Western attention since it began. But what’s the Russian army doing on other European borders, and how are they rebuilding their forces? 📰Michael Kofman and Dara Massicot weighed in for The Wall Street Journal: wsj.com/world/russia/r…

Latest WOTR podcast is out with Dara Massicot and Ryan Evans. We talk about the latest negotiations, how we got here, the situation on the ground. This one is open to all. War on the Rocks warontherocks.com/2025/05/will-r…