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Is The Trump Administration Cooking The Inflation Books? | June 14, 2025 Enjoy this excerpt from our June 14 Around the Horn presentation in which we unpack one of several dynamics that may be causing inflation to persistently surprise consensus expectations to the downside.

If the Federal Reserve does not cut rates tomorrow, Donald J. Trump’s soon-to-be named Fed-Chair-in-Waiting will by the next FOMC in forward guidance terms. USD money markets are not priced for the highest probability path of US monetary policy through Dec-26.

Good thread from our friend Bob Elliott RE: the pending growth slowdown. The data forces every investor to make three determinations: 1. Will the slowdown be “U-shaped” or “L-shaped”? 2. If the slowdown is “U-shaped”, can the market look through it and avoid a deep

Darius Dale My 40’s are a hell of a lot less stressful thanks to 42 Macro

Why Should I Trust KISS (Risk Managed 60/30/10 Stocks/Gold/Bitcoin)? | June 14, 2025 Enjoy this excerpt from our June 14 Around the Horn presentation in which we detail a key reason why 42 Macro 🇺🇸 has thousands of investors around the world employing our Keep It Simple &

The Macro Minute | June 18, 2025 In today's video, I answer the following questions: - How will markets respond to the stagflationary shocks of the US potentially joining the Israeli-Iran war and pending section 232 tariffs? - Will the Fed kick start a chain reaction that

Today's take your damn head out of the sand regarding the impact of AI update is brought to you by Microsoft $MSFT. Remember: this is only the beginning...

I unpacked my thoughts regarding today's FOMC in real-time with our friend Adam Taggart (my next Thoughtful Money® appearance will be out this Sunday at 11am ET). In summary, consensus is ill-positioned for the right tail risk detailed in the clip below.

Mark Minervini IMO, novice investors are much better off by holding an ETF or following a proven and validated system that trades irregularly (which yield a better reward/risk verse ETf hold only), like Darius Dale 's KISS model. (Super easy for investors to follow) Then start trading, again

Young founders, it's important to remind yourself WHY you get out of bed to build your company each day. This is my WHY:

Is the Fourth Turning still a “horoscope,” Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️? youtu.be/9Rh9_1sKTv0?si…

Is The Next Big Move In Markets Still Ahead? youtube.com/watch?v=Lmd0HX… I recently joined Adam Taggart to break down why markets are primed for a major repricing. Growth expectations remain unrealistically low, setting the stage for upward revisions in earnings, tighter credit

The Macro Minute | June 23, 2025 In today's video, I answer the following questions: - Should investors sell now and raise cash due to the US entering the Israel-Iran war? - Can you replicate KISS in a constrained 401(k) plan? You can watch it here: