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I know Calligulinus does not read books but someone in the presidential entourage might. We need a book list discussing the cognitive biases that perpetuated the Vietnam war. Any recommended books?

"Much of what other people know isn't worth knowing." - Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Antifragile amazon.com/Antifragile-Th…

The central passage in Skin in the Game is the immorality of blowing up someone in a remote location while safely sipping Bourbon, something that never happened before in the history of mankind. JFK, Bush senior, & many others had skin in the game; they were prisoners of war.

Yes many failed to get that employment makes you more vulnerable than self-employment.

I was laughing so hard someone had to call the flight attendant.

The benefit of Donald Trump’s approach is that we now understand who are sycophants who will find a way to praise him no matter what, no matter how clear it is he has no real plan, and no matter how much damage and chaos he creates for Americans and the world.

During a tough period several years ago, Nassim Nicholas Taleb sent me the following aphorism, which was perfect timing and perfectly put: “Robustness is when you care more about the few who like your work than the multitude who hates it (artists); fragility is when you care more about the

Calligolino Trump's trade: Gold, the new reserve currency, a flight away from US assets, up 35% ag. the dollar. I don't think anyone ever managed to destroy a country as switfly as Trump is doing it. PS- I am very very long gold/silver.

Aging well is when both the sensitivity and the specificity of your BS detector improve with time.

Ancient Persian education was based on 1) archery, 2) horsemanship, and 3) telling the truth.

I read historians as if they were novelists, and novelists as if they were historians.

An outstanding book, rigorous and scholarly, just read it cover to cover: 1) It thoroughly covers the entire literature: not a single statement that is not backed by multiple trials so it provides a statistical picture of the state of the science. 2) Corollary: practically,

Dumb people with a lot of charisma & supreme self confidence will seem intelligent (to the uninitiated) no matter what they say; they can claim one thing or its opposite and both will seem insightful.

Happiness is highly linked to how focused you are on what you're doing. A wandering mind is an unhappy mind.

There is a toxic type of person to avoid— the kind obsessed with hierarchy, constantly ranking everyone: net worth, IQ, number of publications,academic titles & citations, cycling FTP, 5K running speed, education, etc. They are miserable & want you to be miserable too.

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"The best philosophers were not academics, but had another job, so their philosophy was not corrupted by careerism." - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The minority rule is everywhere.

I have a secret to share. If you want to spread information, make it look like a secret. But don't tell anybody about this. (Version 2)