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A shocker, who could have possibly foreseen that? politico.eu/article/nato-a…

Could Presidents Lee and Trump be the key to peace in Korea? I explore this question in this new piece.

J’ai eu le plaisir d'écrire un Briefing pour l' Institut français des relations internationales analysant l'élection présidentielle de Lee Jae-myung ! Bonne lecture à tous !~

Iran’s predicament is a textbook example of why realists prize raw military power. Over the past few decades, Tehran invested heavily in foreign proxies and regional influence but neglected to modernize its own conventional forces. As Thomas Juneau noted years ago, Iran failed to

Tell the young people you know! SNU is a great education #SNU #Korea

If dropping 14 massive bombs - each weighing 30,000 pounds (13,600 kg) - can't obliterate Iran's underground nuclear weapons sites, South Korea needs to think really long and hard about how effective its Hyunmoo missiles are going to be against hardened North Korean targets.

Koreans expressing a positive view of Korea-Japan ties rose by 12.7% to 55.2%, particularly age 18-29 (72.2% = good). This public opinion works to restrain those more radical on Japan within the Lee Admin and Legislature

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1/ Time for the second BTRZ thread! This time we’ll take a look into the state of BMP refurbishment and production rate.

My book, Bandwagoning in International Relations: China, Russia, and Their Neighbors, is now out in paperback! ⚡️30% off for a limited time via Vernon Press with code OHSJ30 🛒 vernonpress.com/book/2109 #PowerPolitics #IR #China #Russia #ForeignPolicy #Bandwagoning #DylanMotin

I should specify, this news is very big. The Hulyaipole section of the frontline hasn’t moved for over 3 years. The fact that Russia can make meaningful progress here while also breaking through Ukrainian lines elsewhere near Kostyantynivka, Chasiv Yar and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast,

North Korea’s Russian advantage: the KPA’s transformation meer.com/en/88600-north…

📝 New article out in Asian Development Perspectives: “Who Won the San Francisco Earthquake?” The Impact of Disasters on International Politics I argue that only disasters that shift the balance of power, not those that hit everyone equally, change international politics. 🔗

If you want to hear about President Lee's China and Russia policies, check out our appearance on KBS World from yesterday.

Not defending the current US Admin, but this isn’t an inconsistent position. Most US strategists would prefer the Europeans to focus on shouldering the burden of European defence, rather than (as they see it) role-playing at Pacific influence. Colby just put it brusquely… 1/6

Our paper coauthored with Alexandre Haym is officially live and accessible without paywall.

US to build fast boat base near South China Sea militarytimes.com/news/your-mili…

As Thailand and Cambodia edge toward war, regional conflicts often hinge on how great and minor powers interact. My two recent books explore how these dynamics shape conflict and alignment across regions, and the two countries feature prominently in both: 🌏 Territorial

#OpenAccess from our latest issue - Best Practices and Elite Belief: International Competition and State Modernization in Qing China and Meiji Japan - cup.org/3IdRZ9n - Alexandre Haym & Dylan Motin