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Excited to share my new article in the American Journal of Political Science (AJPS)! "Endogenous Opposition: Identity and Ideology in Kuwaiti Electoral Politics" explores how authoritarian elections generate opposition to incumbent autocrats. Link: dropbox.com/scl/fi/ukrer5r…

The deep historical reasons for this socioeconomic and political division of Germany into east and west are summarized in my paper with Dan Gingerich: "Pandemics and Political Development: The Electoral Legacy of the Black Death in Germany" PDF here: cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Very happy to see my "Political Emancipation and Modern Jewish National Identity" published in American Political Science Review

Lessons from a series of email exchanges recently: a) Academic debate should ideally take place in journals -- for the record -- with civility & professionalism. b) Clear notation, precise definitions & math are essential for a productive debate on statistical topics.

Turkish TV is next level! I thought it was going to be a casual chat on fertility, and to my surprise I’m asked to discuss Goldin’s latest paper Awesome!

The winter 2025 newsletter of the Sociology of Development Section Sociology of Development of the American Sociological Association ASA Sociology published an interview of me on my book Localized Bargaining! For the full newsletter, see: sociologyofdevelopment.com/wp-content/upl…

#RDDers: check it out. "Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs"

📌 Japan Lecture Series Yale MacMillan Center Excited to host Erin Aeran Chung (Johns Hopkins University) for a talk on how Japan's model of immigration control is increasingly becoming the norm globally. 🗓️ Wed, April 2 🕛 12–1:30pm 📍 Luce 202 🍣 Lunch provided! 🔗 macmillan.yale.edu/eastasia/event…

Encouraged by a few friends (e.g. Francesc Amat), I have decided to write on Substack. Here is my first note (Part I of a probably too long essay) on how political regimes (particularly democracies) responded to (polarizing) crises and shocks. substack.com/profile/396742…

Draft “A Practical Guide to Estimating Conditional Marginal Effect: Modern Approaches” is on arXiv: arxiv.org/pdf/2504.01355 w/ Jiehan Liu & Ziyi Liu 🧵

Constitutional Court of South Korea now announcing the decision on the dismissal of impeached president Yoon. So far — it sounds Yoon will be dismissed.

Excited to host Frontiers in Empirical Research on East Asia (FEREA) again in the Politics Department New York University on May 8 & 9 with Amy Catalinac As usual, we have an incredible list of external speakers presenting their cutting-edge research!

Our book on China’s Imperial Examination System (Keju, 科举) is out! Open Access! Gonna write a short post about it later.

It was super exciting to see impressive work being presented at FEREA 2025 (sites.google.com/nyu.edu/ferea/…). Thank you, Amy Catalinac and Erik Wang, for organizing it!

Three centuries ago China tweaked a single rule in its imperial exams—and gave us a natural experiment on affirmative action that still echoes today. 🧵👇

Glad this paper is finally out in American Political Science Review, five years after we began the project. Hope it proves useful to researchers. cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Recently learned that our AJPS article on state-building and elite compensation in medieval China received Honorable Mention for the Charles Tilly Best Article Award in Comparative and Historical Sociology by ASA Sociology. So grateful for this recognition by sociologists!

I began a series of studies on Japanese HPE since 2019. Following my first paper on the Edo period, the second one was just released in PSRM, examining the influence of Christianity on Toyotomi Hideyoshi's state-building. Hopefully, more will follow!