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macro guys, doing macro

Claims keep going down It is ground hog day every day now for 5 full years. I’m listening to guests on Bloomberg talking about how we are going to have mass job loss bc of AI and meanwhile unemployment goes down every single month People scream rate cuts. Nothing changes

Claims: 1/ Continuing claims a bit higher than I thought they would be, though still not that concerning. We're probably going to be on a flattish trajectory in the published series for the remainder of the year due to residual seasonality.

New article for Premium Articles subs. We offer a list of catalysts that could act as the main drivers of the next stock market crash and potential levels. $SPX #risk 👇

4/ ...But we're running below 2023 levels too, not just 2024. It really does seem like the labor market is moving in a different direction than pessimists like me expected.

AGTrader As a brazilian, I always hope for Brazil to implement succesful US initiatives/policies, but sadly I’m seeing instead the american adm copying the worse of brazil’s adm

Yepper.

Initial Claims are near 50 year lows, down 6 weeks in a row, and people are calling recession. It’s unbelievable

This is why most economists make shitty traders.

I've published a new Next Economy post, pointing out the very significant risk to the US economy from coming tariff price hikes I hope you enjoy the read! nexteconomy.co/p/the-tariff-w…

New server rack from INTC for the win.

Pretty sure Ghislaine Maxwell is going to be our next Fed chair

CPI futures do exist. Cc tylermcclellan

ITB> MSHI MTD. 🤔

😍😍

When do we lose Ron Jeremy??

I remember people thought I was crazy for saying that high 6 to low 7 figs (income, not TNW) is what it takes to be upper mid now. I realize Nick is talking TNW, but the two often go hand in hand (outside of inheritance or a liquidity event).

I think you’re ok George. Xi likely doesn’t follow. And bc of that lack of insight from now following, he won’t invade Taiwan. Appreciate the public service bro.

My kids extorted me for a new dog as a condition for the house switch. I am emphatically not a dog/pet person. Hoping that in the end I will find the experience to be gratifying. Or I’ll just up my meds.

Bad take. Living standards. I’d rather have an abundance of today’s dollars than a dearth of yesterdays. Go back in time and ask people living in 3rd world conditions during the depression and see what they’d rather have. Easy answer.