The 'Libya' scenario never seemed likely in #Sudan, as it implied a surging RSF would settle for Sudan's western poorer half. With the launch of RSF's new offensive east, the Sudan war may be plunging into its next, even more dangerous phase. Sadly, diplomacy lags far behind.

🔴 LIVE NOW 🇪🇺 10 Cases Where the EU can Build Peace in 2024 With Cosmin Dobran European External Action Service - EEAS 🇪🇺, Peter Wagner Peter M. Wagner 🇪🇺 EU Service for Foreign Policy Instruments 🌐, @SuzanneLynch1 POLITICOEurope and Crisis Group’s Comfort Ero, Richard Atwood and Elissa Jobson. youtube.com/watch?v=_nS8Eu…

UNRWA is a critical lifeline for millions of Palestinians suffering from catastrophic hunger and the outbreak of diseases. An independent investigation into allegations is needed, but defunding would amount to collective punishment. Read my new blog post: europa.eu/!99mqMH

In a strange coda, Semafor’s Steve Clemons has written a rebuttal of his own colleague's piece on Crisis Group. The mistakes in Semafor's earlier reporting need to be corrected. semafor.com/article/02/06/…

The more the AU and its member states can do to address these challenges quickly and effectively, the better placed the organisation will be to meet the overlapping peace, security and governance challenges that it faces in the coming year. crisisgroup.org/africa/african…

A really lovely transition Open Society Foundations. A dear friend and mentor handing the baton over to another dear friend. Heartfelt congratulations to Binaifer Binaifer Nowrojee from us Crisis Group. May it go well with you 🙏🏽 I can't think of a better person to step in after Mark Malloch-Brown.

This super-snazzy new Crisis Group visual explainer takes you on a world tour of 10 challenges for the #UnitedNations in 2024-25. Swoop from a Kenyan base in Haiti to Turtle Bay, all from the safety of your laptop! crisisgroup.org/visual-explain…

The preview for Monday is out now! It features events on: 1⃣ Haiti w/ a quote by Renata Segura 2⃣ Afghanistan w/ quotes from Graeme Smith & Floor Keuleers 3⃣Ukraine 4⃣the DRC 5⃣Multilateralism ft. Elissa Jobson co-hosted by Project Starling, New America & The Children's Investment Fund Foundation

"Tinder, not OKCupid"! ​ For Jeremy Shapiro​'s full assessment of what a Trump presidency would mean for Europe, tune in to the latest episode of 🎧 War & Peace where Olya Oliker aka Dr. Olga Oliker (she/her) and I quiz ​Jeremy on how transatlantic relations would differ under Trump and Harris. 👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾

Standing in for Alan Boswell on Crisis Group 🎧 The Horn, I spoke to the BBC's @MoeHash1 about his recent return to #Sudan. Mo gives a frank account of life in war-torn Omdurman, and talks about a "new Sudan" slowly taking shape amid the devastation. crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-af…