Happy to see our paper with Ina Hajdini, Ed, John Leer, Rob and Raphael Schoenle at the JME. We present a new measure of inflation expectations for 15 countries, using an indirect utility approach sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

CALL FOR PAPERS 📢 Our #CenterforInflationResearch and the European Central Bank will host the Inflation: Drivers and Dynamic 2024 Conference on Oct. 24-25 in person in Cleveland. Submit your inflation-related research by May 31: clefed.org/3UKbR8y #EconTwitter

Great to see our paper w/ Ed, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Rob, Raphael Schoenle on Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations published at the Journal of Monetary Economics. We delve into the theory & evidence of a new measure of #inflationexpectations. sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Super exciting recent survey work! Results resonate with our RCT experiment findings at the height of post-pandemic inflation and wage gains: 1% rise in inflation expectations ==> 0.2% increase in income growth expectations and higher probability of searching for another job.

New Working Paper: Predictable Forecast Errors in Full-Information Rational Expectations Models with Regime Shifts. View the report: clefed.org/3UdX70P

This paper shows that regime shifts in Full-Information Rational Expectations (FIRE) models generate predictable regime-dependent forecast errors in macro aggregates. View the researchers’ findings: clefed.org/3UdX70P

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CALL FOR PAPERS 📢 Our #CenterForInflationResearch and the European Central Bank will host the Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2024 Conference on Oct. 24-25 in person in Cleveland. Submit your inflation-related research by May 31: clefed.org/3UKbR8y #EconTwitter

Beyond happy to share that my JMP has found an incredible home at the Journal of Monetary Economics! Link to paper: sciencedirect.com/science/articl… Long thread:

I look forward to talking about if and how social networks influence individual inflation expectations today in a very exciting session at the SED Meeting. Draft of "The Expectations of Others": bit.ly/4ckqANa #SED2024

Do our social networks influence our expectations of #inflation? Read how economists analyzed this question in our latest Research [in] Brief, available now: clefed.org/4coCJzS

In a recent Economic Commentary, a Cleveland Fed researcher explores the connections among #labormarket tightness, wage #inflation, and price inflation at the service sector level. clefed.org/3X283Pn #econtwitter

Happy to see that my Economic Commentary on labor market tightness, #wage growth, and #inflation is out. Check out the thread below!

The Research Department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland seeks new or experienced economists with research interests in banking and finance broadly defined. Apply today: econjobmarket.org/positions/10872 #economics #banking #finance #nowhiring

Such an insightful read!

The Inflation Drivers and Dynamics 2025 Conference is taking place Sept. 29-30 at the European Central Bank. Authors interested in presenting their inflation-related research can now submit their papers: clefed.org/4hlCyI7 deadline is April 30.

Happy that our new working paper on supply chain networks and firms’ macro expectations is now out as a Cleveland Fed working paper. Check it out here: