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most people who are still undecided won’t vote and those who do will mostly just support the same party they have in the past. but in an election this close, undecided voters could still make the difference. my Good Authority piece with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/undecided…

in a new CES blog post Rebecca Bankhead and Jeremy C. Pope explore on which issues the parties might find public support for compromise after the election sites.tufts.edu/cooperativeele…

I just realized that even though Crowd Size Analysis is basically done, tomorrow at midday we start getting Voting Line Analysis and I'm just not ready for that.

One of my local papers has a "complete wrap-up" of the 2024 election for UT, even though we're not even through counting 70% of the votes for most things. Was it Rousseau who said, "vote by mail stinks"? Maybe it was Voltaire?

I knew we had that all the way.

Ah, the glories of early voting. wavy.com/news/national/…

we tend to end up with romantic partners who share our political views, but is that because liberals and conservatives look for different things from their partners? Lucy Morisse-Corsetti investigates in the latest Tufts University Public Opinion Lab post tufts-pol.medium.com/ideology-in-in…

Featuring some great research from our CSED undergraduate student fellows! BYU BYU Social Sciences

We're excited to announce the 2025 Cooperative Election Study conference: June 1 - 3, 2025 at Solitude Mountain Resort near Salt Lake City, Utah!

The first thing I saw on Twitter, while munching some breakfast, was that Grok is free and that I can use it. Clicking on it (while thinking "Is this a mistake?"), I saw that it could "draw me." And so I said, "OK, let's see that." So close.

Upon learning that Google has classified my country as "sensitive," my first thought was this: is there an "overly-sensitive" category? How do you get into there? cnbc.com/2025/01/28/goo…

Pretty fascinating Gallup comparison about the ideological wishes of partisans for their parties. I suppose it's an open question how much elites care about this.

i have a new Good Authority piece with Caroline Soler on immigration attitudes. an increasing plurality of Americans support both a path to citizenship and increased border security but this group is also becoming increasingly polarized along party lines goodauthority.org/news/surprise-…

deseret.com/politics/2025/…

Jackson Wetherill shows that when people learn more about ranked choice voting support increases, but only among Democrats Tufts University Public Opinion Lab tufts-pol.medium.com/ranked-choice-…

Harris was perceived as more liberal than Biden, Clinton, or Obama had been when they ran. And while people saw Trump as more conservative than they had previously, they were still closer ideologically to him (1.62 points away) than Harris (2.06). cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/Ideology/

This seems both unjust and pointless to me. But it is also worth noting that outcomes like this are a natural consequence of giving too much discretion to leaders. We are prone to assume there will be a farsighted leader choosing the right, this assumption is often unwarranted.

deseret.com/politics/2025/…

Megan McArdle And this is while faculty are under pressure to raise their student success metrics, so there is an ever stronger incentive to say "well done" and move on. In the midst of all this national drama, why should any individual faculty member fight a good fight?

So is it common practice to not wear shoes while wrestling with an alligator? I just want to know the etiquette in case this comes up for me. x.com/accuweather/st…