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**NOW ONLINE** PS's Special Issue on #Forecasting the 2024 US #Elections is up & free to read! Check it out: cambridge.org/core/journals/… #Election2024 #KamalaHarris #DonaldTrump #vote #forecast **Image made w photos from Getty by Scott Olson, Justin Sullivan & Brendan Smialowski

2024 U.S. Presidential election forecast w/ Julius Lagodny, @jcolner99, and Anusha Kumar in PS: Political Science & Politics based on data 100 days prior to the election: doi.org/10.1017/S10490….

Our 2020 forecast correctly forecasted 49/50 states >100 days before the election: doi.org/10.1017/S10490….

Our 2024 forecast helps explain Biden's exit and shows the fundamentals 100 days out favored Trump.

My 2024 election forecast published in PS: Political Science & Politics Cambridge University Press - Politics with Julius Lagodny, @jcolner99, and Anusha Kumar correctly forecasted 45/45 called states 100 days before the election using Verasight: bit.ly/40vsasH.

🇺🇸 1/ posiblemente, mejor #pronóstico de las #presidenciales americanas, basado en modelo robusto. Anticipó que Trump ganaría en voto popular y en 45 de 45 estados... 100 días antes. Trabajo de Peter K. Enns, Julius Lagodny, @jcolner99 y Anusha Kumar 👇 cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Now 48/48 correctly forecasted with NV and AZ looking like they'll also align with our forecast. Much appreciation to my collaborators Julius Lagodny, @jcolner99, and Anusha Kumar for their amazing work on this project.

Unemployment hits only a few people, while inflation hits everyone. And in a democracy, it's one person, one vote. Democrats should view the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment with this basic asymmetry in mind. noahpinion.blog/p/americans-ha…

thanks for the shout out Mafalda Pratas

Ich habe mir marktforschung.de über unser Modell für die US Wählen 2024 gesprochen. Peter K. Enns, @jcolner99, Anusha Kumar und ich haben 100 Tage vor der Wahl ein Modell veröffentlicht, dass die Ergebnisse in allen Bundesstaaten korrekt prognostiziert hat. marktforschung.de/marktforschung…

See how Peter K. Enns , Jonathan Colner, Anusha Kumar, and Julius Lagodny used Verasight data to correctly forecast the U.S. presidential election (PS: Political Science & Politics ) verasight.io/post/guess-who…

Law-and-Order, aber bitte ohne "Scheiß-Gerichte".

Ich befürchte weite Teile der CDU wollen lieber in rechtsfreien Parallelgesellschaften leben - außerhalb des "westlichen" Normen. Wir müssen dringend über re-Integration nachdenken

Your #CornellGivingDay gift to Cornell Government supports faculty/PhD research! givingday.cornell.edu/donate?campaig… Check out this election forecasting model developed by Prof Peter K. Enns & PhD '22 Julius Lagodny which perfectly predicted Trump's victory in all 50 states! government.cornell.edu/news/professor…

Militärschläge können unter Umständen zur Deeskalation eines Konflikts beitragen. Noch vor der Feuerpause zwischen Indien und Pakistan am Samstag, erklärte mir das die Politologin Shubha Kamala Prasad im Zeit-Online-Interview. zeit.de/kultur/2025-05…