What do thinkers think about when they are alone with their thoughts? They think about doing. My latest on Blue Blaze. blueblaze.substack.com/p/the-thinker-…

What is a metaphysical malaise and does America have one? Do you? Chris Murphy 🟧, Senator from CT, explains it all and even proposes a cure on the lastest episode of @ECFR's US election podcast "Swamp Chronicles" with me and asli aydintasbas. Listen at tinyurl.com/yr5mhwvm

These days Senator Chris Murphy’s name often comes up inside the Washington blob as a possible future Secretary of State. We spoke to him on China, Gaza, and Ukraine. Listen in: ECFR Brookings Foreign Policy # SwampChronicles ⁦Jeremy Shapiro⁩ podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/swa…

What would Europe's sanctions options be if China invades Taiwan? In this ECFR brief I outline why the EU has more leverage against Beijing than it looks, how the bloc could curb sanctions evasion and what China's sanctions-proofing means for G7 allies 👇 ecfr.eu/publication/ha…

In the 3rd episode, asli aydintasbas & Jeremy Shapiro, in conversation w/ Norm Eisen, discuss nightmare scenarios of contested elections, including in the state of Georgia, where state electors might not ratify election results if Donald Trump loses. buff.ly/4er2kJY

How much does policy weigh in the current election? In my ECFR Letter from Washington, I explain why it is unbearably light and, after the Project 2025 imbroglio, getting lighter. Also there is a cool cartoon. ecfr.eu/article/letter…

If you are tired of the Middle East, tune in to our podcast on US elections. Super fun and interesting conversation w @KenWeinstein on Donald Trump’s foreign policy priorities— and the Indo-Pacific Jeremy Shapiro

Can Hungary be a model for America? Zsuzsanna Vegh and I think maybe so in our new paper: The Orbanisation of America: Hungary’s lessons for Donald Trump: ecfr.eu/publication/th… via ECFR Zsuzsanna Vegh

🎧 Our new episode is out Jeremy Shapiro and I have a fun conversation with @MattDuss on US policy towards Israel and why the Biden Administration struggles with the idea of using leverage. Matt lays out his ideas on what a progressive foreign policy should look like. Listen here📷

Swamp Chronicle's new episode is with Edward Luce. A Washington-based editor of the Financial Times, Ed gives the foreign correspondent view of the election. Even the possible end of American democracy sounds better with an accent. asli aydintasbas ECFR podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/swa…

It is impossible say on the basis of any analysis, facts or data who is going to win the US election in two weeks. But Harris is going to win. My latest letter from Washington ECFR ecfr.eu/article/letter…

🎧New episode! Jeremy and I talk to the WONDERFUL FIONA HILL of Brookings Foreign Policy on Putin's gambit on the US elections, why Donald Trump gets Putin so wrong, and what awaits Ukraine (warning!!) in possible negotiations. Do not miss this one! ECFR Jeremy Shapiro podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/swa…

“Leaders like Viktor Orban see Trump as potentially useful.” In this episode of War & Peace, Olya Oliker aka Dr. Olga Oliker (she/her), Elissa Jobson, and Jeremy Shapiro discuss whether far-right leaders in #Europe would benefit from a second #Trump presidency. crisisgroup.org/europe-central…

Thinker II: How the Thinker has impact. The second in a series of who knows how many that looks at the semi-sordid business of thinking, by me. open.substack.com/pub/blueblaze/…

We are more prescient than Nostradamus (who was also wrong a lot).

2025: The year we get better at being wrong Here are our ten key foreign policy trends for 2025, along with two bonus technology-focused forecasts, by Mark Leonard & Jeremy Shapiro ecfr.eu/article/2025-t…

How does Donald Trump make decisions in foreign policy? There is a process but it is distinct from most presidents. Like an authoritarian, he pits factions against each to get options and avoid collusion. My latest from Blue Blaze: blueblaze.substack.com/p/how-the-trum…

Jamieson Greer, Trump’s USTR pick, was confirmed by Senate today. Also today, Trump threatened 25% tariffs on imports from the EU (aka entity formed to screw America). Some thoughts on what the EU should expect & how to respond, in my latest ECFR piece: ecfr.eu/article/facing…

Trump’s threats to seize Greenland (and annex Canada, and claim the Panama Canal) requires a strong response. The EU will have to learn how to stand up to the bully in the White House, write Sophia Besch and Jeremy Shapiro in the Foreign Policy Essay. lawfaremedia.org/article/the-ne…

“NATO allies have steadfastly refused to intervene directly in the current war, so any promise they make to fight Russia in a new one is simply not believable,” write Samuel Charap and Jeremy Shapiro. “The Kremlin knows this better than anyone.” foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/snapba…