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The anger of many Islamic Republic supporters and their push for nukes is understandable, but nukes don’t guarantee complete deterrence. Russia couldn’t deter Ukraine. Israel hasn’t fully deterred its foes. The threat to Iran’s system & entire regional project goes beyond nukes.

📢 NEW article from the series ‘Evolving Turkey–Iran relations and implications for regional reordering’ Kamaran Palani examines how since 2003, Iraq has become the primary arena for indirect rivalry between Ankara and Tehran. 1/5

❗ TOMORROW: 'Kurdish peace: What does it mean for Turkey, the Kurds and the region?' Galip Dalay, Evren Balta 🫐, Hatem Ete, Hozan Ibrahim and Maria Luisa Fantappie discuss implications of the PKK’s dissolution. 📅 24 June ⏰ 14.00 BST 📍 Zoom Register now ⤵️ chathamhouse.org/events/all/res…

Kamaran Palani Abby Sewell Iraq is an economic lifeline, but Lebanon had paramount importance in terms of deterrence before Hezbollah decimated. Iraq is the backyard. Syria was quasi supplementary to Lebanon in Iran's grand strategy. Now that most are gone, Iran can't afford to have weakened allies in Iraq

Different reactions among pro-regime circles in #Iran so far to the ceasefire with Israel: 1. Acknowledgment of the asymmetry in capabilities, the scope of damage, and the need to regroup and rebuild - coupled with trust in whatever decision Khamenei makes. 2. Anger, disbelief,

With a potential ceasefire between Israel and Iran, we can now turn to other dimensions of regional politics. In my latest for Chatham House MENA, I examine how Iran and Turkey are positioning themselves in Iraq. kalam.chathamhouse.org/articles/rival…

“Iran-Israel conflict: Is that it? Probably not.” Exclusive analysis of what comes next on CNN. cnn.com/2025/06/24/pol…

Amid growing interference and competition from regional powers, cooperation between Erbil and Baghdad can not only help resolve internal problems but also significantly reduce their dependence on and vulnerability to Iran and Turkey. Read my latest for Chatham House MENA

Excited to share our new book Turkey’s Diaspora Governance: Policies from the Past to the Present — now out with Routledge! We explore how Turkey engages its diaspora across time and regimes. Durham University IMEIS-DU SGIA Durham 🔗 tinyurl.com/3zhv43eh #diaspora #Turkey

What really just happened in #Iran, and what happens now? Read exclusive analysis CNN -- “Iran-Israel Conflict: After the War, Enter the Diplomats” cnn.com/2025/06/30/pol…

Then who are these groups? Where do they get their money and weapons? If the Iraqi government does not want them to be identified as affiliated with al-Hashd al-Shaabi, doesn't it owe the people an explanation of who they really are?

🧐 What is Political Economy Analysis and why does it matter? In this short introduction, Jumana Al-Waeli | (AFHEA) & Nidal Al Haj Sleiman explain the basics and why it's essential for understanding complex political and social issues. 🎥 Watch here in Arabic: youtu.be/tOgUKxuqHLs