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If I were the Liberal Party, I would be very happy not having to deal with a political party that is only focused on a part of Australia that represents a shrinking minority of the population. The National Party’s priorities have increasingly diverged from the broader, more

It’s clear that Jim Chalmers MP and the Federal Labor Government had one group in mind when targeting super balances over $3 million - the super-wealthy. Here’s a snapshot of the super balances typical of the Australians who put Labor back into government - directly or via

Labor’s Campaign Director may well be right in highlighting one striking point during yesterday’s National Press Club address: this will be the first government since 1966 to avoid losing a seat after a single term. According to our modelling and that of others, Labor is on

Bradfield. 3 votes. This will likely end up in the Court of Disputed returns as there will be disputed ballot papers, ruled informal or formal that one party or the other is challenging.

Coalition’s existential crisis. It’s actually not about how they personally get along. The Liberals cannot win without a Coalition with the Nationals. But they cannot win whilst in a Coalition with the Nationals. The core problem for the Coalition is that the Nationals,

Labor winning Calwell. Hard to see how they don’t win this one. So it will be the first government, since 1966 to not lose a single seat an election.

It will take a decade and sweeping reform before the Liberals have any serious path back to power. Here is why. To win in 2028, the Liberals and Nationals need to pick up 33 seats. Only 16 of those seats are held by Labor with margins under 6%. By 2028, another 700,000 Gen Z

Conservatives have long struggled with science and clearly, basic arithmetic isn’t their strong suit either. It takes around six years to go from arrival to citizenship. So if that’s the case, this former Coalition MP is effectively admitting that he and his government laid the

Labor wins Calwell.

Labor’s Basem Abdo will become the first Palestinian Australian elected to the House of Representatives, representing the federal seat of Calwell. It’s a significant personal milestone, but also a proud moment for his community and a reflection of the growing diversity within

This is something to be celebrated by all, especially his family & community. Increased diversity demonstrates the best of Australia & ensures our Parliament reflects the community it represents. As a Jewish Australian elected to Victoria's Parliament I get this. #auspol

The Coalition's geographic inefficiency matters - here is why. A state perspective. Victoria. In early April, before the wheels came off the federal Coalition’s campaign, we published a state-level Victorian poll in the Herald Sun. It showed Labor at 49% 2PP - seemingly

When a political party fails to come to terms with a rapidly changing electorate, it often defaults to the simplest, most reflexive solution, blaming the leader and sharpening the knives. It’s easier to change the face at the top than confront the deeper structural, cultural,

In light of this. Some detail from our early April Victorian State Poll. Labor’s 2PP Gen Z - 64% Millennial - 54% Renters - 62% Diverse - 54% In play? Gen X - 49% Only group good for the Coalition’s 2PP? Boomers and older - 65% When right-wing figures have managed to

The South Australian Liberals are heading towards their next state election (March 20226) with these guys in charge. The betting markets should abandon the seat by seat punting and replace it with: Which vehicle will the South Australian Liberal Party fit in after March 2026.

This is actually a solid article. It lays out a sensible path for conservatives trying to stay relevant in modern Australia. But here’s the problem: Howard-era conservatism wasn’t built on policy reform or broad appeal. It was built on scapegoats, grievance, and stoking fear,