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Once you realize p-values are probabilities relating to observing data rather than probabilities of an hypothesis being true, you are already doing significantly better than most people

Happy to present this NEW PAPER of the The STRATOS initiative on 'Regression without regrets: Initial data analysis is a prerequisite for multivariable regression' bmcmedresmethodol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11… Frank Harrell @MHuebnerPhD #stratosida

Have you really lived if you haven’t made a disastrous stats flow diagram yourself?

Nice to see TRIPOD+AI reporting recommendations (link to guidance👇) mentioned in this NICE position statement on the "Use of #AI in evidence generation" 😀 nice.org.uk/about/what-we-…

Looking forward to talking about the blessings and curses of AI for clinical prediction modeling later today in Kopenhagen. And finally meeting Leon Eyrich Jessen in real life :) Slides ICYI: slideshare.net/slideshow/clin…

Mandatory periodic reminder. ➡️ Statistics: lines through data point cloud ➡️ Data science: lines through data point cloud ➡️ Machine learning: lines through data point cloud ➡️ AI: lines through data point cloud

ok this is the best one I've seen yet

Ok, so it seems the academic conversation is moving towards the place that combines the color blue and the word sky. See you over there!

The single best thing a student intending to use data should do is the following: Learn the difference between description, prediction, and causal inference. "I want to predict..." -- I am willing to bet you don't.

My first blog in ~4 years (!) and perhaps my last tweet (moving to the SoMe that talks about the colour of the sky): this is about the unlikely mashup of an Aesop fable and a paper from @timpmorris.bsky.social, @maartenvsmeden.bsky.social and Tra Pham. theupperquartile.wixsite.com/matteo/post/th…

Must admit, I always envied this handle And also: ohhh nooooo....

New blog article challenging medical researchers who are drawn to clustering patients to create so-called "phenotypes" to think again: fharrell.com/post/cluster Maarten van Smeden “Darren Dahley” #Statistics #PrecisionMedicine @vandy_biostat

🚨Hiring a new fully funded PhD student🚨 We are searching for an enthusiastic PhD student to work on cutting edge methods research, working on methods to combine knowledge from cardioelectrophysiology, 'conventional’ ECG analysis and machine learning werkenbijumcutrecht.nl/vacatures/wete…

new PhD position with Maarten van Smeden and me! are you: - interested in the intersection of "science" and deep learning? - keen to work with electrocardiography (ECG) data - eager to learn and be part of a vibrant data science team UMC Utrecht? see bit.ly/3UaSN23

congrats Maarten van Smeden for winning a VIDI (pretty much Netherland's most prestigious personal grant); great new for methods research on prediction models and their evaluation

PROBAST+AI is out! This is "a comprehensive tool that allows to assess the trustworthiness, value, fairness, quality, risk of bias and applicability of prediction models" (probast.org) bmj.com/content/388/bm…