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This is a key point from our pre Spending Review report. Increasing NHS capital spending implies cuts to capital spending on other areas, e.g. transport, schools or net zero, given defence plans. Seems unlikely the NHS will see a large increase in capital spending at the SR.

We're now just under a week away from the Spending Review, the first multi-year spending review since 2021. Sign up for our post-Review analysis the morning after at 10:30am: ifs.org.uk/events/spendin…

Great work from my colleagues out today on Crown Court productivity. A relatively good news story for broader public sector productivity, with complexity adjusted Crown Court productivity appearing to have returned to pre-pandemic levels

Spending on the new childcare entitlements next year could be £1 billion higher than initially forecast in March 2023 - a 25% increase. So what's going on? I break down the numbers that Paul Johnson and Max Warner set out in Institute for Fiscal Studies' post-Spending Review briefing.

NEW: A response to government commitment to spend 5% of GDP on national security Bee Boileau and Max Warner set out what this could mean for government spending and future fiscal events: ifs.org.uk/articles/respo…

NEW: The tax system is making net zero more costly than it has to be. Lucie Gadenne and Bobbie Upton’s new briefing demonstrates how emissions from electricity are taxed much more heavily than emissions from gas: [THREAD]

😲Govt will stop public servants speaking in public Really bad idea Officials add LOADS to debates, e.g. explain technical policy details Cutting them out of debates will reduce transparency & quality of public discourse I agree with Hannah White : instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/govern…

NEW: Changes to health-related benefit reforms would reduce saving from the planned bill by £3 billion in 2029–30, but would create a huge difference in support between claimants. Read Tom Waters, Eduin Latimer and Matthew Oulton’s new briefing here: ifs.org.uk/articles/chang…

NEW: Today we publish the final recommendations from the IFS Pensions Review, with a set of policy reforms to create a pension system fit for the future. THREAD on our four key themes for reform: