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Yahoo Finance: “The middle class, unfortunately, is dead for Millennials and Gen Zers” True or False?

Last Wednesday, we discussed the potential for a tactical short on TLT after a bit more upside — ideally targeting the 90s. Unfortunately, Moody’s downgrade accelerated the move before the setup fully materialized. The trade was on the radar, but the window never opened.

Citi buying a hybrid option to hedge against a further rise in the 30Y UST yield and fall in the dollar. The US bank sees a risk that more US fiscal spending will spur a market selloff akin to the UK’s “Truss crisis,” along with stagflationary risks stemming from tariffs.

$PLTR continues its strong rally off March lows, and now seasonality is turning bullish too. The seasonality score has flipped from deeply negative to positive territory — historically a supportive tailwind. Momentum meets timing?

$AMZN option matrix shows strong short-term gamma support at 180 and resistance at 220-225, with heavy GEX concentration on the 5/23 and 6/20 expiries. HVL clustering around 185-200 suggests pinned price action. Range traders eyeing 180–220 as key battleground.

Bloomberg: US stocks slide and Treasury yields pop after Moody’s downgrades US credit rating to Aa1, citing persistent deficits. S&P 500 -1%, Nasdaq 100 -1.3%, 30Y yield >5%. Strategists call it a “breather” after the rally, not a trend reversal—for now.

SPY 🩸

DXY reversed right on the 50 day last week, extending the move lower today as we approach the big 100 level. A close below that area and 99/recent lows risk coming into play. Source: LSEG Workspace

$NDX hovers near critical resistance at 21,340 — right at the Call Wall & Gamma Wall 0DTE. HVL sits below at 21,170–21,290, offering potential gamma support. A breakout above 21,340 could open the path to 21,428, while failure risks a drift back toward 20,908.

As expected. $VIX

$SPX liquidity shows a sharp -47% drop in Net GEX, signaling reduced dealer hedging support as spot hovers ~5950. Heavy call OI at 6000 remains resistance, while HVL at 5900–5935 marks key gamma flip territory. Rising P/C volume ratio hints at growing caution.

$NVDA liquidity remains solidly call-dominated with Net GEX climbing +1.7% intramorning, showing continued dealer support. Spot sits ~5pts below 140 resistance, while HVL at 132 and heavy call volume at 135–140 shape the near-term ceiling. P/C ratio at 0.52 favors bulls.

$QQQ liquidity update: Gamma remains call-dominated with a sharp intraday GEX rebound (+47.3%), though still -46% vs yesterday. Spot hovers just below key HVL at 519 and 0DTE call wall at 523. P/C volume at 1.21 suggests balanced hedging, but upside faces resistance into 525.

Bull Market. $SPX

Inflation keeping those yield sticky.

Is that all? $SPX

CNBC: Ray Dalio says the risk to U.S. Treasurys is even greater than what Moody’s is saying. You agree?

“US Treasuries are very liquid,” Swiss National Bank President Martin Schlegel said Monday in Lucerne. “There is currently no alternative to them and it's not foreseeable that there will be an alternative.”

$TSLA Liquidity Update (15:00 ET): Call-dominated gamma remains intact despite GEX down 9.4% vs yesterday. Spot hovering ~18pts above HVL (322.5) with heavy call volume clustered at 340–400. P/C ratio at 0.56 favors upside chase, but 400 remains the major resistance wall.

Macro Monday with Craig Shapiro x.com/i/broadcasts/1…