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Market-based inflation expectations over the next 5-10 years have risen to the highest levels in almost two years, at an implied 2.44%.

The rise in the Euro was always wrong. The EU is too scared to defend itself against an existential threat like Russia. Yet markets spent the last few months flirting with the idea that Euro is a reserve currency alternative to the Dollar? Markets are finally getting over that...

It’s a list of impossible conditions to which neither Israel nor Hamas will agree being insisted on by a country (UK) with zero clout with either party. Pure political posturing befitting a student union.

Rachel Reeves should not take comfort from a slight upward revision in IMF forecasts for 2025/2026. Medium/term UK growth outlook is still bleak - GDP forecast to rise by just 1.4-1.5pc a year 2026-29. Growth across the 2020s to average just 1.1pc - worst decade for 100 years!

“If I was Starmer, I would focus 99.9% of my attention on trying to rescue the UK from its decline, which Labour is completely failing to do.” @MatthewSyed says the UK is becoming "completely irrelevant". Edwina Currie | Calum Macdonald | @RosieWright99

How united or divided do you think UK society is at the current time? Very divided: 34% (+6 from Oct 2024) Fairly divided: 42% (-6) Fairly united: 13% (-1) Very united: 1% (-1) Results link in following tweet

Once again, it is the post-FOMC press conference that moves the markets: Stocks fall, bond yields rise, and the dollar strengthens as Chair Powell sounds more hawkish than many expected on the outlook for policy rates. #economy #markets #FederalReserve

This week has seen a massive short squeeze that's driven the Dollar up 2%. I've argued for a while that the Dollar is severely oversold, because tariffs will lift US inflation, preventing the Fed from making all the cuts that are priced. Today's substack: robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/why-the-doll…

#OnThisDay 1977: Thanks for the Memory - The Viewer's View asked people what they thought about television. This woman was likely approached for a snappy vox pop, but ended up delivering something closer to a dramatic monologue.

I'm curious to know if you or your students have used AI marking platforms for GCSE or A level history (eg Classroom 42's 'Examinator'). What are your/your students experiences? Any insights would be really appreciated. Thanks!

Posted earlier: FYI, my thoughts on the interplay among three economic and financial factors—one positive and two less so—that will likely determine whether US equity markets can build on their impressive rally: ft.com/content/a946bc… #economy #markets @ft

Use the Oxford comma, folks.

2 August 1934. Upon the death of President Hindenburg, Adolf Hitler amalgamated the posts of President and Chancellor to declare himself Supreme Leader (Führer) of Germany. Every German was now obliged to swear an oath of allegiance to Hitler - not to the German state.

To a worrying extent, the US stock market is driven by a group of huge global tech players, whose revenues are 40 percent global. Economic indicators that are closer to home tell a more modest story.

My Sunday Times piece: Inflation is well above target, and set to remain so for some time, but the Bank of England is still likely to find reasons to cut interest rates on Thursday: Inflation is 3.6%, so why is the Bank cutting rates? thetimes.com/article/149b27…

Good Morning from #Germany, where the stock market’s brief comeback appears to be over – at least for now. The surge in US big tech stocks, the underperformance of German equities, and a weakening Euro have pushed Germany’s share of global stock market capitalization down to

After careful thought over recess, I’ve decided not to seek re-election to @scotparl next year. I’ve written to the First Minister this morning 👇🏽 I will continue to serve the First Minister, the Government and my constituents to the best of my ability until May 2026.

If AI is going to be used extensively in office jobs - which I think it will be - then should we be letting students use AI in the classroom? No, and here is why. With reference to 3 important research papers that show why what you do in a job shouldn't be the template for

“Labour is beginning to panic. Nothing it seems to do dents support for Reform.” Labour ministers are resorting to "desperate rhetoric" against Reform as they continue to trail behind Farage's party in the polls, says Times Radio's Andrew Neil. @AFNeil | #TimesRadio

56% of Britons say that immigration is one of the most important issues facing the country, the highest level since June 2016 Immigration: 56% (+4 from 19-21 July) Economy: 46% (-5) Health: 34% (+2) Crime: 24% (+3) Defence: 19% (-2) Housing: 18% (+1) Environment: 17% (-1) Tax: