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Very happy to see this work out in Studies in Comparative International Development with Arturo Chang & Laura García Montoya. We examine why & how shifts in development paradigms (e.g., a type of political opportunity structure) trigger social movement factionalization. link.springer.com/article/10.100…

OpenAI has launched Operator, an agent that can perform tasks in your browser. I asked it to complete a Qualtrics survey I created. The results are very promising for Operator but *very* concerning for survey researchers

Why do criminal groups choose human dismemberment or public body displays over hired killings that cost less and involve fewer people? With Luis Fernando Trejos Rosero, we interviewed criminal group members, victims' relatives, and individuals who survived dismemberment threats to answer this.

Con 💚Paula Clerici💚 estamos coordinando el eje "Estudiar el nivel subnacional con N grande" para el I Congreso Argentino sobre Política Subnacional. Sale ese DM si tenés algún laburo para presentar. Organiza Repsa. 20 y 21-ago en UBA Sociales | #FSOC #UBA. +info acá👇🏽 sites.google.com/view/repsa

En entrevista la académica y periodista Alejandra Guillén conversa con Marcela Turati sobre el caso Teuchitlán y alerta sobre los puntos ciegos que rodean al rancho Izaguirre, “hay que entender que ese rancho forma parte de un circuito desaparecedor”. adondevanlosdesaparecidos.org/2025/03/18/teu…

New data article on Lynching in Latin America in Journal of Peace Research with Gov Clayton, includes information on more than 2800 lynching events, 2010-2019. The creation of this dataset wouldn't have been possible without the help of many research assistants. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00…

Just published on APSR First View: "The Train Wrecks of Modernization: Railway Construction and Separatist Mobilization in Europe" by Yannick Pengl, Carl Müller-Crepon, Roberto Valli, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Luc Girardin. cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Hey so this is out now! Ever wondered when to measure covariates in a survey experiment? Our paper goes through the tradeoffs of measuring them pre vs post treatment using nonparametric bounds.

We evaluate the extent to which partisan bias is driven by affect or ideology. Using advanced machine learning and robust measurement techniques, we found that how much people dislike the other party determines their response to political cues, while ideology plays no role.

💭Working on social norms?💭 We (Charness, Gneezy, Dimant & Krupka) have a new paper comparing leading methods for measuring norms + guidance when & how to use them. Goal: help researchers/practitioners select the right tool for their specific needs. 📄 tinyurl.com/CharnessEtAl20…

Currently in FirstView: “Decoupling Visualization and Testing when Presenting Confidence Intervals” by Dave Armstrong and William Poirier. They develop a way to present estimates and confidence intervals to accurately visualize the underlying pairwise tests.

While there is a growing body of work suggesting information can change beliefs, effects on attitudes tend to be muted. We sketch out why this might be the case, drawing attention to the role of belief relevance. See 🧵 below!

NEW - Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina - cup.org/3QVOUfv - Gustavo Diaz (Northwestern Political Science, Virginia Oliveros 💚, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro (Brown University Political Science) & Matthew S. Winters #OpenAccess

Draft “A Practical Guide to Estimating Conditional Marginal Effect: Modern Approaches” is on arXiv: arxiv.org/pdf/2504.01355 w/ Jiehan Liu & Ziyi Liu 🧵

New working paper linked below w/Diana Jordan and Andrew Trexler! We run large-scale tests of bias and precision in repeated measure experiments — and the topline looks good for repeated measures! 📈 Big precision & power gains ⚖️ Only modest attenuation of treatment effects

If you run conjoint experiments, you need to read this. Most conjoints estimate average effects for each attribute. But what if the effect of one attribute depends on the others? This new paper introduces a data-adaptive conjoint design that hunts for heterogeneity: Where

Excited to announce our 2025–26 cohort of Kellogg Visiting Fellows! This dynamic group of scholars and journalists will advance research on global democracy and development at University of Notre Dame tackling urgent issues from electoral politics in India to media transparency in Latin

🎯 How well do surveys capture voters' real views? ➡️Using a MultiTrait MultiError model, K.Backström A.Cernat R.Sirén P.Söderlund examine how acquiescence, method effects, and random error affect the measurement of voters' issue preferences cambridge.org/core/journals/… #FirstView

🚨Awesome new #preprint 😍"Good Description" by Dan de Kadt & Anna Grzymala-Busse 🔥They argue that good description is never atheoretical. Instead, good description is dripping with theory. A must-read for folks writing and reviewing papers. GitHub: github.com/ddekadt/good_d…