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Very excited to release this paper today. By using a staggered roll-out of heat pumps in the UK, we find that: 1. Heat pumps reduce households’ total energy use by a whopping 40%, and carbon emissions by 36%, evidencing the real-world impact of their superior efficiency over

Closed Eyes

Death on a Pale Horse

Noah's Ark

Front page news! My job market paper is done: JPE news.osu.edu/bias-found-whe… journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/73…

New pre-print alert: arxiv.org/abs/2409.11162 When selecting a causal estimand, it’s crucial to balance asking the right question with the feasibility of answering it under realistic assumptions. Ignoring this in clinical trials risks chasing shadows.

Sacrifices Made to the Nymphs from Daphnis and Chloe #artbots #chagall

In March 2020 as covid-19 struck I was in UK govt. I had expertise in vaccine innovation financing so was quickly brought into policy decisions on UK domestic & international covid-19 vaccine policy. Domestically, the UK made a lot of good calls and we got vaccines early... 🧵

Huge paper on intergenerational poverty. In the US, children who grow up in poverty are far more likely to remain in poverty as adults, and the key factor that explains our divergence from peer countries is our weak welfare state

New paper alert 🚨🚨🚨 Last paper from my PhD is finally out on arxiv arxiv.org/abs/2411.00471 We introduce Dirichlet process mixture of block-g priors and bridge the long-standing gap between g-priors and continuous shrinkage priors with several existing methods as special cases

Reminder that the AMA is a cartel to create doctor shortages

Nasturtiums

Sita

Portrait of Chess Players

Deer in the Forest

I'm a PhD student at University of Oxford and I think I'm living in a fairytale :-) Foxes playing around in the snow at Magdalen College this morning — absolutely magical!

Thanks to Nick Irons, our Florence Nightingale Bicentenary Fellow in Computational Statistics and Machine Learning, for a fascinating seminar on why US COVID-19 school closures were not cost-effective, but other measures were buff.ly/3ZeC4hp The Leverhulme Trust

I wrote the cover story of the February issue of The Atlantic. It builds on a lot of reporting I did throughout 2024, and I'm really proud of it. It’s called: THE ANTI-SOCIAL CENTURY The thesis: Rising solitude is the most important social fact in American life today. The

I'm deeply saddened to share that Donald Shoup passed away last night. He was the ideal academic—curious, methodical, and concerned with turning ideas into real-world change. TAing his parking course has one of the greatest honors of my life. Rest in peace, Shoup Dogg.