🔥The 9th Round of Easy Loan, Earn $40 Reward is in progress❗️ ⏰ Promotion Period: January 15th - Feburary 15th, 2025 👉 Register now and check more details at gate.io/campaigns/358

New working paper by Oliver Pfäuti and co-authors

Highly recommended! "Attention to the Macroeconomy" by Sebastian Link, Andreas Peichl, Oliver Pfäuti, Christopher Roth, and Johannes Wohlfart "...attention to the macroeconomy responds strongly to shocks; more attentive respondents adjust their inflation expectations more

Unspeakably excited to share HANKSSON, joint work w/ (lucky me!) Sigurd Galaasen Refet Gürkaynak M. Mæhlum K. Molnar A key question of the HANK literature: Does (household) heterogeneity amplify the aggregate effects of demand policies and shocks? Well ... 1/n tinyurl.com/3n7sx842

The recently accepted paper of Boehm and Niklas Kroner demonstrates that shocks that drive the US business cycle also drive the global financial cycle. restud.com/the-us-economi…

📢📊Can professional forecasters be "Rationally Inactive"? Along with the great Isaac Baley we wrote a VOXEU Column to discuss the main findings of our recent paper "Lumpy Forecasts". cepr.org/voxeu/columns/…

Starting tomorrow: 𝐓𝐄𝐗𝐀𝐒 𝐌𝐎𝐍𝐄𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐘 𝐂𝐎𝐍𝐅𝐄𝐑𝐄𝐍𝐂𝐄 We have a great line-up of speakers and discussants (see program below) First day with Alp Simsek, Niklas Kroner, Yoon Jo, Yeji Sung, Oliver Pfäuti, virgiliu midrigan, Shihan Shen (+ some not on here)

After a great first day of our conference yesterday, we are looking forward to an exciting second day!

What's happening with inflation expectations? Two often used household surveys disagree: - the Michigan MSC says inf expectations are up - the NY Fed SCE says they're not Which one is it? New blog by Oli Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko says: MSC is right! Find out why ⬇️

A survey of French firm's inflation expectations that predate inflation spikes provides evidence on the anchoring of expectations during an inflation surge and the relevance of expectations for firms' decisions, from Erwan Gautier, Frédérique Savignac, and Olivier Coibion

Want to know more about firms' inflation expectations during the recent inflation surge? And how do their expectations correlate w/ wage expectations and firms' price setting? Check out the new EMPCT working paper by Erwan Gautier, Savignac & Coibion: sites.utexas.edu/macro/research/

It took a while, but we finally have a new (heavily revised) version out: nber.org/papers/w32305 Fabian Seyrich

New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP20274 #Inflation, Expectations and #MonetaryPolicy: What Have We Learned and to What End? Olivier Coibion UT-Austin Economics, Yuriy Gorodnichenko Berkeley Economics ow.ly/OFqs50VVsY3 #CEPR_MEF #CEPR_MG #EconTwitter

Exciting lineup for the #bsesummerforum workshop "Macro Fluctuations with Micro Frictions" on June 19-20 Co-organized with the best team: Jan Eeckhout Simon Mongey andres blanco Barcelona School of Economics More info on our and other workshops here: bse.eu/summer-forum/

New EMPCT working paper: Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End? New working paper by Oli Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko Link: sites.utexas.edu/macro/research/

How French Firms Navigated the Inflation Surge: Lessons for Expectations and Decision-Making New blog post by Oli Coibion, Erwan Gautier and Frédérique Savignac. Short summary follows ⬇️

New evidence on what moves price-setting 👇

Macro Fluctuations with Micro Frictions (MFMF) at the Barcelona School of Economics Summer Forum andres blanco Jan Eeckhout Simon Mongey

And the program is now closed! Looking forward to a wonderful SED Meeting editorialexpress.com/conference/SED…

Our Annual Meeting in beautiful Copenhagen is about to start 🥁!! Looking forward to seeing everyone tomorrow morning! #SED2025 Check out the program here: editorialexpress.com/conference/SED…

New WP! #econtwitter We establish five facts about how households, firms, social partners (employer organizations and trade unions) and economists form inflation expectations, using data from a harmonized quarterly survey in Norway over 2002–2024. Link: norges-bank.no/en/news-events…