How Does Putin Envision Victory in Ukraine? Many ask what Putin considers a victory in the war in Ukraine. Does he plan to install a puppet president? Or does he aim to occupy the entire country? Below is my attempt to outline a hypothetical timeline of what an ideal Russian

We are pleased to present R.Politik Bulletin in its updated format. In this EDITION: In Focus We examine the full scope of recent Russia-U.S. developments—from the Putin-Trump conversation to the complexities of the Ukrainian negotiations and recent meetings in Riyadh. We also

Our new R.Politik Bulletin No. 7 (159) is out. rpolitik.com/bulletin/7-202…

Our latest Bulletin is out now. The main focus is on significant structural financial risks facing Moscow, our lead topic. Alexandra Alexandra Prokopenko Prokopenko outlines how the government must prepare for worst-case scenarios that could seriously undermine Russia’s war capacity. We

Announcing Essential Ukraine: A New R.Politik-Hosted Project 🚨 New from R.Politik: At a turning point in the war, when Ukraine’s internal dynamics will shape the future of the postwar European order, we’re launching a new, independent project: 👉 Essential Ukraine – by Balázs

🇺🇦 As large, geostrategic deals are made abroad, Ukraine is entering a period of heightened domestic friction. Click the link in the thread for our #WeeklyOutlook and more from the pilot R.Politik report 'Essential Ukraine' by Balazs Jarabik ⤵️

Some thoughts on Putin’s proposal for direct talks with the Ukrainians. - By mid-April, Moscow maintained the position that it would only engage with the Americans. The Kremlin regarded Zelensky as illegitimate and clung to a (rapidly diminishing) hope that Trump, frustrated with

As Putin's proposed date for possible talks with Ukraine approaches, we have released two in-depth reports offering a full and exclusive view of the situation in Moscow and Kyiv. The latest issue of R.Politik’s Bulletin analyses recent developments surrounding the American

Our new R.Politik Bulletin No. 10 (162) is out. IN FOCUS Russia is pursuing a dual-track strategy: direct talks with Ukraine while intensifying offensive operations. Moscow's intention is clear: Kyiv must cease resistance, accept Russia’s key demands—which it frames as

We are pleased to present the second edition of Essential Ukraine, authored by Balazs Jarábik, following his recent visits to Kyiv and Washington. What’s inside: - A strategic outlook on the fragile Istanbul talks, evolving US policy, and the uncertain path toward a potential

Dear Friends, We are pleased to present the latest edition of our R.Politik Bulletin No. 11 (163). IN FOCUS The nature of the Russian-Uranian war has been gradually shifting. While Russia intensifies its offensive and gains more territory, Ukraine has undertaken bolder and more

Dear Friends, Amid rising uncertainty and alarming escalation in the Middle East, we present our latest R.Politik Bulletin No. 12 (164). IN FOCUS Israel’s strike on Iran, followed by the US bombing of key nuclear facilities on 22 June, has marked a significant escalation in the

🚨 New from R.Politik Bulletin No. 13 (165): The sharpest Russia-Azerbaijan rift since the early post-Soviet period is unfolding—not just a diplomatic spat, but a deeper shift in regional power dynamics. Baku is testing the limits of Moscow’s relevance in the South Caucasus. 🧵

🚨 New R.Politik bulletin out (No. 14 — 166) IN FOCUS We examine the suicide of Roman Starovoit, who took his own life shortly after being dismissed as Minister of Transport. His political downfall, managed quietly by the Kremlin, underscores how elite networks recalibrate by

1/ Essential Ukraine 6 is out - at times of growing uncertainty. As Russia pushes forward with drone-based maneuver warfare, Ukraine enters a new, shaky phase—marked by external hesitation and internal consolidation. A short 🧵 with key conclusions

R.Politik Bulletin No. 15 (167) is out after the summer break. We analyse the Trump–Putin summit in Alaska. Moscow achieved tactical gains: Trump no longer demands a ceasefire before talks, acknowledged Russia’s nuclear status, and hinted that Ukraine must consider concessions.

The latest issue of R.Politik’s Bulletin (No. 16, September 2025) is out now. IN FOCUS We analyse the Russian drone incursion into Polish airspace — not only the benefits Moscow can extract from such incidents, but also the risks they carry. We also explore Belarus’s bid to act

The latest R.Politik Bulletin No. 17 (169) is now available, offering an in-depth look at Russia’s shifting external and domestic landscape in early October 2025. IN FOCUS We analyse the entrenched tactical deadlock between Russia and the United States, where political dialogue

📌 R.Politik Bulletin 19 (171) is out now. IN FOCUS: A rare institutional clash in the Russian power system. Zaporizhzhia head Yevgeny Balitsky’s attempt to subordinate the regional election commission and dismiss its head triggered a backlash from the Central Election

📢 New R.Politik Bulletin №20 (172) just released. What’s really happening behind the curtain as Trump’s team pushes a “peace plan” that reads suspiciously like Moscow’s wishlist? We dissect: • How much of the Witkoff-Kushner draft was shaped in the Kremlin • Kirill