David Rapson (@rapsonenergy) 's Twitter Profile
David Rapson

@rapsonenergy

I study the energy transition and its effect on the economy. Professor @UCDavisEcon, Policy Advisor @DallasFed. All views my own.

ID: 1239307972431380480

linkhttp://rapson.ucdavis.edu/ calendar_today15-03-2020 21:51:11

2,2K Tweet

1,1K Followers

491 Following

The Transcript (@thetranscript_) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$AA Alcoa CEO: "...the administration has asked us, are we likely to reshore aluminum production in the United States? We make decisions around aluminum production that are a horizon of 20 to 40 years. We would not be making an investment in the United SS based on a tariff

David Harsanyi (@davidharsanyi) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Virtually every pro tariff piece I read asserts that: 1, we have lost our manufacturing base 2,that wages are down. 3, that the middle class has been hollowed out. None of them are true.

Jason Furman (@jasonfurman) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I don't think people realize that in important respects tariffs are now higher & more inflationary than what was announced on last Wednesday. Since then we've gone from 54% to 125% on China, our 3rd largest trading partner. That outweighs delaying the increases on 70+ others.

Hanno Lustig (@hannolustig) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Don't blame the plumbing of Treasury markets, blame Congress and the White House. Not the unwinding of the basis trade in US Treasury markets, but the response to a large, macro shock. March 2020 was the first sign of cracks in the global safe asset supplier armor. April 7 and

Don't blame the plumbing of Treasury markets, blame Congress and the White House.  Not the unwinding of the basis trade in US Treasury markets, but the response to a large, macro shock.

March 2020 was the first sign of cracks in the global safe asset supplier armor. April 7 and
Itai Sher (@itaisher) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I think there are many people in academia who fundamentally have the wrong motivation. Two motives that can undermine research are activism and careerism. Itโ€™s really important that researchers have the right values, that they inherently care about trying to get the right answer

Cullen Roche (@cullenroche) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Who else is excited to see how we fix these problems? The USA's "broken" monetary system: #1 in total wealth. #1 in total GDP. #1 in GDP growth in the G7. #1 in global corporate profits. #1 in GDP per capita in the G20.

Daniel Kral (@danielkral1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A reminder that the public debt reduction episodes unfolding in Southern Europe are for the history books. The ones in ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น are the fastest in recent history. And for the "it's all inflation!" crowd, inflation has been around 1.5-3% across all in the last year and a half.

A reminder that the public debt reduction episodes unfolding in Southern Europe are for the history books. The ones in ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น are the fastest in recent history.

And for the "it's all inflation!" crowd, inflation has been around 1.5-3% across all in the last year and a half.
Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The extant major oil export pipelines (Keystone, TMX, Enbridge) were at 93% of capacity in the last month of public data: Keystone at 100%, Enb at 96%, and TMX at 75%. "Excess" capacity of about 350k bbl/d across the three lines. That's ~ AB forecast production growth to 2033.

David Rapson (@rapsonenergy) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Wages across the distribution have risen substantially since NAFTA was signed in 1994. It's amazing how many people seem to be unaware of this fact. Illustrative charts from Noah Smith ๐Ÿ‡

Josh Barro (@jbarro) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Leftists keep criticizing Ezra for not having a "theory of power," but it's actually their theory of power that has nothing to say about the problems he's identified. They can't conceive of -- or address -- a problem not caused by big corporations, monopoly, or "oligarchs."

Jessica Riedl ๐Ÿง€ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@jessicabriedl) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The biggest story few are talking about: CBO projects that the government's interest rate never exceeds 3.6% over 30 years. If rates remain at 4.5%, that adds $40 trillion more to interest costs over 30 years - as much as adding a second Defense Department.

The biggest story few are talking about: CBO projects that the government's interest rate never exceeds 3.6% over 30 years. If rates remain at 4.5%, that adds $40 trillion more to interest costs over 30 years - as much as adding a second Defense Department.
Hanno Lustig (@hannolustig) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Trump administration is wrong to target elite universities, but it's worth remembering that these elite universities have painted a huge target on their back over the past few years. They have not been the bastions of free speech, academic freedom and civil discourse they now