Trump’s second trade war risks unwinding the benefits of his first. Smart analysis of Trump’s new trade wars by ⁦Roland Rajah⁩. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

The “dumbest trade war in history” will also damage developing economies that have actually been helping the United States diversify its supply chains away from China. My reaction to the start of Trade Wars 2.0 👇 lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

NEW RESEARCH: This interactive map by Roland Rajah and Ahmed Albayrak reveals how global trade with the United States and China has changed since 2001, including changing trade flows based on exports. 🌎interactives.lowyinstitute.org/features/china…

Fom Rachel Bonnifield and me: Fact-checking Elon's claims about USAID

NEW PODCAST EPISODE: for the latest episode of the The Lowy Institute Development Futures podcast I speak with Masood Ahmed, President Emeritus at the Center for Global Development on the future of international aid and the factors reshaping this. lowyinstitute.org/publications/d…

With my colleague Ahmed Albayrak, co-author with Roland Rajah of the The Lowy Institute's brilliant new data snapshot on US-China trade competition: interactives.lowyinstitute.org/features/china…

UNAIDS estimates the US assistance funding pause is already responsible for ~3,000 additional HIV infections. unaids.org/en/topic/PEPFA…

NEW PODCAST: In this episode of Development Futures, Roland Rajah, Alexandre Dayant and Grace Stanhope (@gracestanhope.bsky.social) discuss the implications of US President Donald Trump's decision to dismantle the world’s biggest foreign aid program. 🎧lowyinstitute.org/publications/d…

US aid freeze: what should Australia do? Australia can’t replace the US, but we can work with others, step up aid, defend multilaterals & lead diplomatically for better development cooperation The Lowy Institute IPDC Roland Rajah Grace Stanhope (@gracestanhope.bsky.social) lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

Steel yourself! Excellent quick reaction article on Trump's steel and aluminium tariffs by my colleague Roland Rajah. If you're interested in understanding what the tariffs mean for Australia, check this one out. Kudos to Roland and Daniel Flitton. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

The The Lowy Institute and The Interpreter are smashing it today on the subject of Trump's steel and aluminium tariffs. Here's Nonresident Fellow Dr Jenny Gordon's take: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete… Daniel Flitton

China is widely assumed to be the big soft power beneficiary of US aid cuts—but to date, no estimates quantify the impact. My latest analysis shows the cuts restoring China as the world’s largest bilateral aid partner, surpassing the US in 40+ countries. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

How do US aid cuts impact American soft power? Riley Duke estimates the US cuts mean China will now be the bigger development partner in 84 developing countries, a jump of 40 countries. Assuming US aid cuts don’t go even further. Article here: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

NEW PODCAST EP: my chat with Dr Jenny Gordon, The Lowy Institute nonresident fellow and one of Aust’s best economists, on Trump’s tariff logic and what it means for countries like Australia, how it infringes on sovereignty, retaliation, & the best response. lowyinstitute.org/publications/d…

NEW PODCAST: The The Lowy Institute's Roland Rajah and Dr Jenny Gordon discuss the economics and peculiar logic behind Donald Trump’s tariff plans, what it means for smaller countries like Australia, and how they should respond. 🎧lowyinstitute.org/publications/d…

Is Vietnam primarily a backdoor for hidden Chinese exports to America? Or a helpful diversification partner? New from me and Ahmed Albayrak. We estimate how much hidden Chinese content is really in Vietnam’s exports to US. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

White House officials cite transhipment concerns as a basis for the high tariffs on Vietnam & Cambodia. Roland Rajah & I find that the majority of the value add in Vietnam's exports are sourced domestically & from non-China sources. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

Southeast Asia got pummelled on Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’. Putting the region’s export driven development model at serious risk, especially in Vietnam and Cambodia. My reactions in today’s The Lowy Institute Interpreter. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

“Trapped in debt: China’s role in Laos’ economic crisis”. This is an absolutely meticulously researched piece that exposes all the ways that China moved in to capture the #Lao economy. A must read for anyone interested in China’s in Southeast Asia. lowyinstitute.org/publications/t…

Our latest The Lowy Institute research provided detailed analyses of China’s role in Laos’ debt crisis. Laos is often overlooked but its arguably the most important and extreme case of China’s role as a huge creditor to developing countries. lowyinstitute.org/publications/t…