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A get-your-pen-and-take-notes kind of technical discussion with David Albright at his best 👇

Great reporting. There were also concerted efforts to push Iranian negotiating positions on the administration over the number of centrifuges, the modifications of the Arak reactor, and Iran‘s past nuke weapon program. 🟡 Influence operation semafor.com/newsletter/09/…

For those interested in South Africa’s former secret nuclear weapons and the discovery of the Kalahari nuclear test site, I highly recommend: Discovery of South Africa’s Secret Nuclear Test Site, August 1977 | National Security Archive nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/…

The link to the recording is here: x.com/i/spaces/1djGX…

If fully operational, this reactor’s plutonium would allow NK to significantly increase its nuclear arsenal of smaller, more powerful, missile deliverable nuclear warheads. “Second North Korean nuclear reactor appears to be operational, IAEA says” Reuters reuters.com/business/energ…

The new leaked documents about #Alabuga and Iran need to be checked for their authenticity, but so far they seem genuine. We will be checking this out further. However, the reported average cost per #Shahed 136 seems high for what JSC Alabuga will pay to make Shahed 136 drones.

This case is a great example of the immense importance of UN Security Council Resolution 1540 (2004), which makes it mandatory for all UN members to have adequate controls to prevent the trafficking of WMD and related materials by non-state actors. 1/ justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/u…

Yesterday, OFAC sanctioned entities in Iran, Turkey, Oman, & Germany for purchasing carbon fiber, epoxy resin, antennas, etc. for Iran's missile program. Some procurements went to entities directly tied to Iran's enrichment program, TESA & Kalaye Electric home.treasury.gov/news/press-rle…

A parts dealer in Gabon reportedly supplied Russia with sanctioned aircraft parts worth almost 1.5 billion dollars. As Russia gets more creative in its sanctions evasions efforts, many countries that lack export controls are vulnerable to exploitation. 1/ aero.de/news-47196/Wie…

What are the diplomatic actions to be taken by the Biden administration and other members of the G7 as a result of Iran’s massive attack against Israel? They should be guided by the simple principle that the US and its allies have taken their gloves off. No brainers, in no

Electronics shipped from Netherlands to Russia via .. the Maldives 🏝️ houthoff.com/insights/news-…

Some closeups of pre- and post-attack images at Cape Fiolent, Crimea and a site in Yeysk.

🚨Available Now: The Peddling Peril Index for 2023/2024 –the fourth edition of our in-house ranking of strategic trade control systems– is out! Get your copy on Amazon here: a.co/d/7HS1SrF 1/

1/ Check out today’s WSJ editorial, quoting David Albright and Sarah Burkhard wsj.com/opinion/iran-n…

Based on the new IAEA quarterly report, Iran’s breakout timelines to make WGU are now shorter than in August. It can now make enough WGU, taken as 25 kg per weapon, for almost ten nuclear weapons in one month, 13 in two months, 14 in three months, 15 in four months, and 16 in

We are not publishing commercial satellite images of the explosion at a port at Bandar Abbas, but today’s images show two warehouses totally destroyed with numerous containers destroyed by blast and fire. And the fire is still smoldering. What a disaster!

From our physicist in Ukraine: Last night was a new absolute record Shaheds  launched by russia: 472 On the night of June 1 (starting at 7:30 p.m. on May 31), Russia attacked with 479 air attack weapons: - 472 Shahed-type strike UAVs and various types of drone simulators from the

Israel is also degrading Iran’s ability to make the nuclear weapon itself, lengthening the amount of time Iran would need to finish a nuclear weapon. This graphic is a crude attempt to show where Iran’s capabilities have so far been degraded or complicated by Israel. Later, we

DG Grossi said today on CBS Face the Nation that Iran could restart about 300 centrifuges or less in a matter of months. Iran just lost upwards of 20,000 centrifuges and can’t make more. Is this 300 or less the number of centrifuges Grossi thinks Iran may still have outside of

From G7 Foreign Ministers: We reaffirm that the Islamic Republic of Iran can never have nuclear weapons, and urge Iran to refrain from reconstituting its unjustified enrichment activities. We call for the resumption of negotiations, resulting in a comprehensive, verifiable and