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Forgot to post tips again. Not a bad start to this week, anyway. No hot takes, I've tipped all 9 favourites. I like that the model tipped Brisbane due to HGA despite Adelaide being rated no. 1 in the comp. I also love a negative margin tip.

As we head into another round, Brisbane have again overtaken Adelaide on top. In tipping, it looks like we're going for 2 upsets between Carlton and Port and an additional spicy tip with North.

If you're bored on a Saturday morning, I just threw together a Sporcle quiz that might interest you. sporcle.com/games/stattrac…

I am very late because I've been busy and there was a problem with my data going into this round, but I'm finally here. Nothing glaringly wrong yet, apart from the order of the matches in tipping.

Yeah, that's a tip with 97% confidence in finals. Highly confident tips have been a running theme all season. My model still needs work, but is managing a huge 78% tipping and 0.31 bits per match, a whole 0.1 in front of the best Squiggle models in the men's comp.

Hm. I guess it's time to start maintaining that free Wordpress blog again.

Nick Hind may be one of the best kicks in the AFL? Highest ranked Expected Kicking Efficiency Differential in 2022.

This is the quality of chart you would expect to be published on a dot info domain. Someone paid someone else money for this and thought it was a perfectly fine way to visualize data. I mean, where to begin...

This was a sensational game and I'm feeling the urge to get a model up and running for the MLB this year. I have uhhhh 3 weeks. Maybe?

I miss doing game day stats, so I did some quick and dirty score chain sources for #AFLDonsGiants if anyone's interested.

My week has been ruined.

I haven't been sharing my posts on here this year. I'm mostly maintaining the blog to have a historical record of what STaRS is doing. But I did put effort into this Counter-Strike post so I'll share it here. I'm really excited for the top 16 at BLAST.tv. stattraction.wordpress.com/2023/05/12/cs-…

I'm doing a thing on Sporcle again. This time I wanted to see how many current AFL players have a unique first AND last name. I think Tony Corke would enjoy this one. sporcle.com/games/stattrac…

I'm continuing my momentum in Counter-Strike and predicting the outcome of BLAST Spring. I haven't gotten around to implementing map pools yet but I'm happy with SCooTeRS' performance. It agrees with most of the CS world: Vitality are marginal favourites. stattraction.wordpress.com/2023/06/06/cs-…

For a limited time only. Threat rating and Retention Rating for 190k kicks since 2021 with my modelling and everything you need to model it yourself. You can also plot, analyse and summarise for any players/teams you want drive.google.com/file/d/19xGu-f…

For the betterment of statistical understanding, he's actually the 4th. Matthew Lloyd also did it in addition to Franklin and Kennedy. Just because he started his streak of 70 games in 1999, it doesn't mean that we can just ignore the 61 straight games in 2000-02.

This week: a look into what makes up a contested possession and whether they really matter. Huge thanks to Andrew (Andrew Whelan Wheelo Ratings) for collaborating on this one. Wheelo is about the best single source for AFL stats right now. abc.net.au/news/2024-07-1…