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GS on gold buying: Central bank demand on the London OTC market has fivefolded since the freezing of Russian central bank assets in 2022

The S&P 500 is about to be up in January. Markets tend to trend and nothing shows it better than this. An up Jan = strength an a 16.9% avg annual return. A negative Jan = weakness and down 1.8% on the year.

We disagree. Year-over-year changes are a poor way to capture short-run swings in the data. Core inflation has advanced just 1.6% SAAR over the last two months. So, "progress stalled" in September and October, resuming since. Given how strong inflation ran in Q1 2024, there is a

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Market Musings 080225: Challenging the conventional wisdom around American exceptionalism stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 150225: Market leadership rotation underway stockopedia.com/content/market…

We started sharing this chart last year and it showed that bull markets that made it into their third year (like this one) tended to last much longer than you'd ever expect. Going back 50 years, the 5 bulls that made it this far lasted an avg of 8 years.

Market Musings 220225: A simple diversified ETF portfolio stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 020325: Chartstorm (end-month) stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 220325: Just a correction, or a bear growling? stockopedia.com/content/market…

Nice chart from Fred Goodwin at State Street. Choose your fighter.

Market Musings 290325: Stock market ETF timing with the high yield spread stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 110425: Market Timing with VIX stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 190425: Key Charts to Watch app.stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 100525: Still a bull market, or just dead cat bounce? stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 170525: Soft v Hard US data, an energy tailwind, Infrastructure shines app.stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 250525: The bond market is now in charge stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 310525: The Ides of May Augur Well stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 070725: Silver and platinum wake up stockopedia.com/content/market…

Market Musings 290625: Stocks shrug off MidEast conflict stockopedia.com/content/market…