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Australian Open Simulations - Women's Singles (after R3) 1️⃣Coco Gauff (30.2%) 2️⃣Aryna Sabalenka (20.0%) 3️⃣Qinwen Zheng (17.1%) 4️⃣Linda Noskova (6.2%) (Based on elo ratings at 1 January 2024) 🟣Path to final (second image) #AusOpen

Australian Open Simulations - Men's Singles (after R4) 1️⃣Novak Djokovic (34.6%) 2️⃣Jannik Sinner (20.0%) 3️⃣Carlos Alcaraz (19.8%) 4️⃣Daniil Medvedev (13.6%) (Based on elo ratings at 1 January 2024) #AusOpen

Australian Open Simulations - Women's Singles (after R4) 1️⃣Coco Gauff (30.6%) 2️⃣Aryna Sabalenka (24.7%) 3️⃣Qinwen Zheng (19.9%) 4️⃣Linda Noskova (12.5%) (Based on elo ratings at 1 January 2024) #AusOpen

With the 2024 AFL season less than a week away, here are the main changes to the Wheelo Ratings website since last season. 🟣Team Lists View details of all players on the 2024 team lists. wheeloratings.com/afl_team_lists… 1/5

Expected Scores Sydney v Melbourne, Round 0 🟣Match Stats wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stat… #AFLSwansDees

⭐New stats added to Wheelo Ratings 🟣Player match stats pages now include Intercept Possessions, Intercept Marks, and Pressure Acts 🟣Team match and season stats pages now include Score Sources wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stat… wheeloratings.com/afl_stats_team…

We chatted to Chris Fagan after their loss last week and a small clip about effort got replayed a fair bit. This week's piece looks at what we (and Fagan) see as the real issues that have faced Brisbane in 2024. H/T to Robert Younger and Wheelo Ratings abc.net.au/news/2024-05-0…

AFL Premiership Metrics 🏆 Updated for 2024. 🔴It's all Sydney🔴 Two new metrics have been added this year based on Champion Data's Premiership Standards, and a few have dropped off. 👇Details for the last 12 premiers' performance against these metrics in the following post.

New Expected Scores page now available 🟣Explore goalkicking accuracy and shot rating (2021-) 🟣View by player, team or AFL-wide 🟣View player shot charts 🟣Filter shots by season, shot type, distance and corridor/pocket wheeloratings.com/afl_xscores.ht…

The 2 most experienced sides in the comp by age and game come together tonight, thanks to Wheelo Ratings who was mentioned as a great resource in the pod this week. Who are you backing tonight ? #AFLPiesCats

This week: a look into what makes up a contested possession and whether they really matter. Huge thanks to Andrew (Andrew Whelan Wheelo Ratings) for collaborating on this one. Wheelo is about the best single source for AFL stats right now. abc.net.au/news/2024-07-1…

🏅Brownlow Medal predictions wheeloratings.com/afl_brownlow.h… 1️⃣34.4 Nick Daicos 2️⃣33.0 Patrick Cripps 3️⃣27.3 Lachie Neale 4️⃣26.7 Marcus Bontempelli 👇See following posts for round 23 and 24 match votes and the optimistic model.

Goodfellas. Footy finals. What could be better than that?! A column looking at every finals team's premiership chances using Wheelo Ratings premiership metrics through Goodfellas quotes. #AFL #AFLFinals guywholikessport.wixsite.com/guywholikesspo…

🏅 The Wheelo Ratings 2024 Brownlow Medal Guide is now available for download. 🟣 Probabilities from 20,000 simulations 🟣 Detailed predictions for the top 20 players 🟣 Predictions and stats for every match ➕ more wheeloratings.com/afl_brownlow.h…

🏅Brownlow Medal Tracking page is now live🏅 wheeloratings.com/afl_brownlow_l… Prediction updates hopefully within a minute of each round's votes being read out. Don't forget to download the Wheelo Ratings Brownlow Medal Guide.

Final standings! 🏆 Overall champion: AFL Live Ladder 156 tips 🏆 MAE champion: AFL Live Ladder 26.4 🏆 Bits champion: Wheelo Ratings 33.5 bits squiggle.com.au/leaderboard/?y…

AFL Player Ratings update 1️⃣Bontempelli 2️⃣Cripps 3️⃣Petracca 4️⃣Serong 5️⃣Merrett Bont is up to 56 weeks at number 1, with a big lead over Cripps. Methodology described here: s.afl.com.au/staticfile/AFL…

For anyone heading over to Bluesky, I'll be posting as the following account: bsky.app/profile/wheelo…

Career AFLCA home & away coaches votes, 2004-2024 Nick Daicos has reached 240 votes in 13 games fewer than anyone else (Fyfe 78 games). Note that 2004 was the first season that the AFLCA award was based on weekly votes. Thanks Tony Corke for the 2004 votes.

Expected Scores Sydney v Hawthorn, Opening Round Match Stats wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stat… #AFL