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Ian Bremmer two days ago: Assad will not fall. Ian Bremmer today: Let me explain how we got here.

Academic organizations should not tell their members what newspapers to read, what movies to watch, or what social media to use. The AEA has stepped out of line. This advice to move from X to BS should be rescinded.

We are excited to share the great lineup of speakers for our IAST Workshop on the Political Economy of Autocratic Rule & Democratic Backsliding. Registration opens soon, stay tuned!

Great thread on RCTs, especially in the Global South!

I wrote a piece for WSJ on the politics of NIH university funding The reactions have been incredibly polarizing - not surprisingly! Realistically I don’t think universities can get back to high indirects any time soon 🧵

APPLICATIONS NOW OPEN: The 2025 - 2026 Emirates Leadership Initiative Research Fellowship for junior and mid-career policy-oriented scholars supports independent research on critical public policy topics relevant to the UAE, the Gulf region, and the broader Arab world. Areas of

My recent article in JCR is now assigned an issue! It shows that strategic violence in autocratic elections is a reaction to the regime's: prospects for coopting elites and voters and expected political costs of violence. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00…

Ramadan starts tomorrow! The religious season -affecting a quarter of the World's population- is also political. Its norms shape distributive and symbolic politics in Muslim societies. If curious, below is my paper on Ramadan's distributive politics! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

Join us next week! On Tuesday April 8 at 11:00-12:00pm EST/5:00-6:00pm CET Ahmed Ezzeldin Mohamed (IAST) will present "Monopolizing Clientelism During Regime Transition" followed by comments by Marwa Shalaby (Wisconsin-Madison) and Biff Parker-Magyar (Weatherhead Center for International Affairs)

New in Journal of Democracy: Feyaad Allie on India's new minority politics "The [2024] election reinforced a troubling status quo for India's largest religious minority: explicit exclusion from one side of the political spectrum and strategic silence from the other."

Excited to finally see this paper in print after (too) many years in the pipeline! 🪩If you’re interested in using Facebook to recruit social science research subjects in LMICs, take a look 👀

Yesterday, I was honored to present on "The Politics of Religious Seasons in Mediterranean Muslim Societies"at the HONORLOGIC ERC Project meeting, thankful for the generous organizers on the invitation, Ayşe Üskül, and the amazing interdisciplinary scholars!

I am thankful for the Authoritarian Political Systems Group for the opportunity to discuss my working paper, "Monopolizing Clientelism during Regime Transition" yesterday, the thoughtful discussion by Marwa Shalaby and Biff Parker-Magyar, and the attendees!

Were wealthy donors key to Trump’s campaigns in 2016 and 2020? I'm thrilled to announce a new paper in which @ SKates5350, Eric Manning, Tali Mendelberg and I analyzed data on 108 million (!) homeowner-voters. See cup.org/4cfm0Az 🧵 1/

"Google Scholar is manipulatable... we analyze over 1.6 million Google Scholar profiles and identify instances of citation manipulation to boost an author’s citation metrics. In many cases, this was done through a previously undocumented practice of 'citation purchasing' "

My latest paper is now available in Political Communication. I use big media data to study an information management strategy, which I refer to as reference point adjustment, employed by pro-government media during an economic crisis. Full paper is here: tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…