Excited to announce my paper, Measuring Strategic Positioning in Congressional Elections, is officially accepted and online Journal of Politics @[email protected] here: journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/73… Quick thread on the paper below:

Another banger from Finnish admin data thanks to Ana Rodríguez González The JHR: robust evidence of ⬆️ relative female education leading to ⬇️ marriage + fertility, due to mismatches in educational dist btw men and women

Today was inoculation day in my challenge study, which meant drinking a room-temperature salty bicarbonate solution (sort of like gatorade without the sugar or flavoring) in a line of people who were sort of chuckling nervously (Or maybe that was just me).

My friend didn't tell me about his optimistic new AEJ adaptation paper. Basic revealed preference logic provides bounds on what we lose when we don't make a trip on a snowy day. Zoom and information technology progress reduce these costs!! pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10…

🚨1/N Really excited to announce a new working paper, “Interviews” 🚨 We demonstrate that interviews allow workers to screen firms and preview whether the job is a good match for them—using ~500k Glassdoor reports + a randomized field experiment. 🧵

Call me old-fashioned, but you can just inject a lot of venom into a llama to produce a potent, broad-spectrum antivenom. De novo proteins are great and all, but maybe I am just more of a camelid guy. 🤷‍♀️

Interesting article, but notably presents ~no evidence for these lay-offs being driven by AI!

Asimov Press is so cool

We GiveWell funded $16M in grants to 7 orgs to pilot inline chlorination across 6 countries: a mix of refugee & IDP camps, partnering w some orgs that can manage underlying water point infra, all high child mortality burden settings. Proud of this work! blog.givewell.org/2025/10/29/saf…

crazy new democratic postmortem dropped

#AI research fellow job at Schmidt Sciences. You can take it as a year of leave from your university too. One of the areas of focus is AI’s impact on the labor market #EconTwitter 👇

From a practitioner lense everything you care about is the variation between the circled races

Not having good data on what drugs are safe in pregnancy has made being pregnant harder than it needs to be. I argue in The Argument that we should solve this problem by enrolling more pregnant women in RCTs. Link ⬇️

this was a persuasive piece on including pregnant women in more RCTs, written by a pregnant physician and bioethicist theargumentmag.com/p/why-we-need-…

And it's a wrap. The last chapter of my dissertation is out today. It's hard to explain to those outside the profession how much work goes into a paper — and how personal they become. I hope you enjoy reading it. [continues]

I interviewed Holden Karnofsky of Anthropic (and past CEO of Open Philanthropy) for 4.5 hours on almost all his AGI takes: • The AI 'race' isn't a coordination failure [00:18:01] • Why he's currently focused on pursuing easy wins and partial victories [02:43:43] • "It'll be

let's spotlight the better quote

Come work with us! Opportunities will be abundant!

Highly relevant! "The Public Origins of American Innovation" by Andrea Gazzani, Joseba Martinez, Filippo Natoli, and Paolo Surico. dropbox.com/scl/fi/e2c3s4f…