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Fears of American abandonment and Russian aggression have reignited debates over whether Europe can and should provide for its own nuclear deterrence. Alex Bollfrass shares his analysis. go.iiss.org/4k3GDT7

1/2 🚨 New preprint alert 🚨 Together w/ Lauren Sukin Stephen Herzog Marek Vranka, we provide first experimental evidence on how public views on nuclear weapon use shape elite decision-making. Must read for scholars conducting nuclear nonuse experiments!

Illicit flows of technology and dual-use goods continue to fuel global instability. From increased military cooperation between Russia, Iran and North Korea to the rise of rogue actors like the Houthis, international concerns over missile and drone technology transfers continue

A new European nuclear deterrent would not be a quick fix Via IISS News by Scoville Fellow '07 Alex Bollfrass. iiss.org/online-analysi…

ICYMI Better know a nuke: Pakistan On the Arms Control Poseur podcast from IISS News, Scoville Fellow '07 Alex Bollfrass speaks with Dr Rabia Akhtar and Dr Mansoor Ahmed. iiss.org/podcasts/arms-…

Raketenexperte Fabian Hinz Fabian Hinz glaubt nicht, dass Iran in der Lage ist, geheime Atomanlagen zu bauen. Israel könne durch die Tötung von Wissenschaftlern massiven Schaden anrichten. Ein Interview von Christoph Ehrhardt faz.net/aktuell/politi…

I think the main question is whether Iran is just waiting to get round to Fordow—owing to limited tankers/planes constraining sortie rate—or whether this is actually a coercive bombing campaign to force Iran to accept a tougher nuclear deal. I still think former more likely.

After at least 15 years of agitating for a kinetic attack on Iran’s nuclear programme, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu finally found his chance. Read the latest analysis from Mark Fitzpatrick. go.iiss.org/3SQ4WZe

IISS archive 2025 | Israel's strategic nuclear ambiguity has shaped its deterrence policy for decades. 🎙️ Listen to Alex Bollfrass and Dr Or Rabinowitz in The Arms Control Poseur to find out more. (Date of recording: 21 February 2025) ➡ go.iiss.org/41ztEB2

We are #hiring! The IISS is seeking to appoint a Senior Fellow for Land Warfare, reporting to the Head of the Defence and Military Analysis Programme (DMAP) and the Director for Defence, Technology and Future Conflict. 💼 Senior Fellow for Land Warfare 🌐 London, Washington DC

In light of recent developments, revisit IISS News's #TheArmsControlPoseur episode: “Assessing the possibility of Iran going nuclear” with David Albright (Inst for Science) & Fabian Hinz. They unpack Iran’s enrichment advances, ties with Russia, and prospects for a US-Iran nuclear

The IISS is convening a panel of experts to address the most pressing questions the Israel–Iran conflict poses. 🌎 Webinar 📅 Thurs 19 June ⏰ 12:00-13:00 BST 💬 Dr Alex Bollfrass, Emile Hokayem (@emile-hokayem.bsky.social), Fabian Hinz, Air Marshal (Retd) Martin ‘Sammy’ Sampson & Dr Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن Join the

In this special webinar, a distinguished panel of IISS experts examined some of the most pressing questions posed by and prospects for the Israel–Iran conflict. Watch Alex Bollfrass, Emile Hokayem (@emile-hokayem.bsky.social), Fabian Hinz, Air Marshal (Retd) Martin ‘Sammy’ Sampson & Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن now:

Pentagon briefing: “In total, US forces employed approximately 75 precision guided weapons during this operation. This included, as the President stated last night, 14 30,000 pound GBU-57 Massive Ordnance penetrators, marking the first ever operational use of this weapon.”

WSJ: The IAEA pulls its inspectors out of Iran over safety concerns. laurence norman wsj.com/world/middle-e…

Nuclear strategy is about providing a deterrent effect sufficient to avoid the most dire scenarios, which Europe can achieve without major changes to declaratory policy or force structures | Lawrence Freedman on Europe’s existing nuclear deterrent. FREE TO READ. go.iiss.org/4kro1My

How different from Trump’s tilt to Putin, transatlantic disarray, and the Ze Oval Office meeting. Diplomacy still highly fluid under Trump. But something has shifted. Putin has thrown away a strong hand. Consequences could —could— be fateful. More here: iiss.org/online-analysi…

Helpful breakdown of what is/not in the '25 reconciliation bill for Golden Dome by the good folks at CRS congress.gov/crs-product/IN…

🚨🚨🚨NEW JOB🚨🚨🚨 Do you have broad expertise in dual-use technologies and their impact on deterrence, defense, and arms control? Interested in disruptive technologies (AI), nukes & conv. weapons? Apply here: tinyurl.com/m6apsxck

🎥 IISS expert Alex Bollfrass, Head of Strategy, Technology and Arms Control, shares his insights in ARTE in English's latest documentary ‘Pakistan: A Nuclear Power under Pressure’. The episode takes stock of the Pakistan past and present to better understand the nuclear power. Watch