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Donald Tusk seems *by far* the most foresightful European leader at the moment. We should all be listening to him, inc in Britain. And the Poles are one of the only countries in Europe that have the right priorities: economic growth and self-defence. Everything else is a luxury.

Arjun Panickssery Everyone should draw their DAGs and argue about those. This is entirely downstream of that

Join Odile Renaud-Basso, who is in Brussels, the heart of the EU Institutions, to reaffirm the importance of the The EBRD-EU partnership & discuss ways to strengthen it even further and face current challenges.

Let me repeat once again - once Europe succeed in eliminating its dependence on foreign energy, it’s going to become massively more competitive.

Time for Europe to grow a spine. Defending Europe without the US: first estimates of what is needed. “Rapidly generating such increases requires an extraordinary effort, though experience shows market economies can do it.” bruegel.org/analysis/defen…

Examining the long-run consequences of Western sanctions on Russia finds that the long-run declines in consumption are significantly larger when capital stocks adjust, from @Dbaqaee and @hannesmalmberg1 nber.org/papers/w33506

🧵 how do income, employment and demographics vary across and *within* spanish municipalities? i built a new interactive tool so anyone can answer those questions in just a few clicks explore all the existing neighborhood-level data in spain at wikibarrio.es

🧵New survey paper: "Inference with Few Treated Units" Alvarez (Luís A. F. Alvarez), Ferman (Bruno Ferman) and Wüthrich Tired of referees saying your standard errors are wrong? This survey will help you understand if you really have a problem — and, if so, how to fix it!

spain is undergoing a demographic revolution. in just over 40 years (1998-2039), it will have transformed from a country where foreign-born residents were a tiny minority (<3%) to one where nearly 40% of residents are either immigrants themselves or children of immigrants

between 2021-2024, spain's foreign-born population increased by around 1.5 million. which places absorbed this demographic shift? data on foreign-born population change by neighborhood is now available at wikibarrio.es

📢The program for the 7th The EBRD and CEPR Research Symposium is now on-line!📢 Join us on June 2-3 in London to discuss “The Economics of Demographic Change" Keynotes: Jesús Fernández-Villaverde (UPenn) and Matthias Doepke (LSE) Program and registration: lnkd.in/e5aNypaf

Tak🇵🇱nas🇵🇱dzisiaj widzi świat!

I spoke to The Guardian about our latest research on remote work across 40 countries. The UK still leads with some of the highest WFH rates globally — we discuss the implications for productivity and urban economies. Full piece below. theguardian.com/business/2025/…

📢 NEW DATA! Javier Flórez, Mario Larch, Sebastien Bradley, and I are very happy share the update of the most disaggregated dataset of consistently constructed international and domestic trade flows -- GRANTPA. So, let’s estimate GRAVITY with GRANTPA. ideas.repec.org/p/drx/wpaper/2…

in the last 26 years, the foreign-born share in barcelona's prime working-age population has increased from 6% to 50% continent breakdowns of immigrant stocks from 1998-2024 for all spanish municipalities with population above 20k now live in my app → pablogguz.shinyapps.io/dataviz_migrat…

I’m sharing my slide deck on the demographic future of humanity, 🔗 Slides: sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/Slide… prepared for the keynote address I will give tomorrow to the 7th EBRD and CEPR Research Symposium on “The Economics of Demographic Change”: 🔗 Symposium: ebrd.com/home/news-and-…

Our new NBER Working Paper is out!

‘The demographic future of humanity’ by Jesús Fernández-Villaverde at the 7th The EBRD and CEPR Research Symposium on the economics of demographic change

hace unos días publiqué un gráfico sobre la evolución de los salarios por grupo de edad y cohortes de nacimiento en españa que tuvo bastante difusión. hoy Kiko Llaneras publica en el país un (fantástico) análisis en el que muestra un gráfico similar (elpais.com/espana/2025-06…),

Among countless other things that make me happy about it, Poland did it without an "industrial policy". Just stable policy, modest but consistent growth, the craziness of our politicians restrained by the EU, and a broad-based economy - you can't point to one sector driving it