Grant me the confidence of the peer reviewer who doesn’t know what a marginal effect is but thinks they’re qualified to offer statistical advice.

Looking forward to chairing this evening's round table on Populism and the British and European Elections of 2024 at Royal Holloway. Panellists: Sara Hobolt @MiriamSorace Chris Prosser, cc: @rhulpirp European Election Studies royalholloway.ac.uk/research-and-t…

New paper w/ Chris Prosser at American Political Science Review. A recent paper claim rising mass polarization in US is actually declining survey cooperation rates (only diehard partisans responding). We show evidence that this actually results from overly strong regularization cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Just published on APSR First View: "Regularized Regression Can Reintroduce Backdoor Confounding: The Case of Mass Polarization" by Jonathan Mellon (Jon Mellon) and Christopher Prosser (Chris Prosser). cambridge.org/core/journals/…

If you're interested in doing a PhD in something to do with elections, political psychology, public opinion, or anything to do with British politics (or know someone else who is), then get in touch - we have an open funding competition at the moment!

New from me in WEP Journal (open access): Fragmentation revisited: the UK General Election of 2024 4,000 words on the who, what, where, why of the 2024 UK General Election - the most fragmented election in British democratic history. tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…