🔥The 9th Round of Easy Loan, Earn $40 Reward is in progress❗️ ⏰ Promotion Period: January 15th - Feburary 15th, 2025 👉 Register now and check more details at gate.io/campaigns/358

#FirstView from Political Analysis - Priming Bias Versus Post-Treatment Bias in Experimental Designs - cup.org/4htpJf6 - Matt Blackwell, Jacob R. Brown, Sophie Hill, Kosuke Imai & Teppei Yamamoto

NEW: A groundbreaking survey on fairness across the world with 65,000 individuals across 60 countries -- from colleagues at NHH Norwegian School of Economics FAIR-The Choice Lab. Key findings: * The West is especially meritocratic * What drives inequality? Globally, people believe luck matters more than merit

#OpenAccess from @PolAnalysis - Seeing Like a District: Understanding What Close-Election Designs for Leader Characteristics Can and Cannot Tell Us - cup.org/3DGgWIY - Andrew Bertoli & chadhazlett #FirstView

Congrats to our colleague Andrew Bertoli on his latest publication in Political Analysis. If you're interested in what one can, and cannot learn from close election designs make sure to check it out: cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Absolute BLOODBATH at HHS/NIH/CDC this morning. Generation of scientists, health care officials being wiped out

While there is a growing body of work suggesting information can change beliefs, effects on attitudes tend to be muted. We sketch out why this might be the case, drawing attention to the role of belief relevance. See 🧵 below!

🚨 My first solo-authored article is out now at British Jnl Poli Sci 🚨 tl;dr: When people w/ high verbal ability consume info, their ideological constraint and stability go up. But when people w/ low verabl ability consume info, constraint and stability go *down* cambridge.org/core/journals/… 🧵

Congrats to our colleague Michael Becher whose latest article (coauthored with D Stegmueller) has just come out in the AJPS! Their article explores how import competition from China affected US democratic politics by weakening labor unions. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/aj…

Check out the program of our Workshop on Culture, organized with Emmy Lindstam & Vicente Valentim! June 25th in Madrid, day before EPSA, at IE Political Science (IE Tower). If you'd like to join, feel free to get in touch with one of us!

NEW WORKING PAPER Many people warn that LLMs pose threats to democratic societies through their persuasive capabilities. How should we evaluate these claims? In this project, we discuss limitations of existing evaluations and present our own framework (1/6)

Levitsky, Way, and Ziblatt: "No One Has Ever Defeated Autocracy From the Sidelines" (gift link in thread) Key points: 1. We are now living under competitive authoritarianism. 2. We need ALL of civil society to resist the temptation of appeasement and defend democracy.

Chicago Pope, Tuesdays on NBC

I wrote a really comprehensive post on the fraudulent MIT paper on AI adoption for materials research. If the story interests you, I think you'll really like this piece:

"Even when explicitly prompted for accuracy, most LLMs produced broader generalizations of scientific results than those in the original texts."

On June 10 and 11th, IE hosts a Workshop on Public Opinion, Representation & Democracy in our Segovia campus. Entrance is free to anyone who may be interested. The program is attached. Thanks to our faculty members D.J. Flynn & Nina Wiesehomeier for organizing this great event!

🎙️The APSR is opening a new Research Notes track! Authors may now submit directly as Notes—or, with editor agreement, have papers reclassified during review. Notes should be ≤7,000 words (excl. refs/appendices).

From our new issue: "Misinformation and Support for Vigilantism: An Experiment in India and Pakistan " by SUMITRA BADRINATHAN (Sumitra Badrinathan), SIMON CHAUCHARD (Simon Chauchard), and NILOUFER SIDDIQUI #APSRNewIssue cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Happening this week IE Political Science IE School of Politics, Economics & Global Affairs: Workshop on Public Opinion, Representation, and Democracy (in beautiful Segovia!)

For those attending EPSA #EPSAXV in Madrid: IE School of Politics, Economics & Global Affairs IE Political Science is hosting a Pre-EPSA Reception on Wednesday (25 June), 19-21h. Registration link: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…. Hope to see you there!

📢 We will be hosting the next edition of the Madrid Empirical Social Sciences conference on October 24-25. See the call for papers below, and submit your abstract by July 11 here: forms.gle/usBWvFrXeVbKMu… (open to folks from outside Madrid too!)