🔥The 9th Round of Easy Loan, Earn $40 Reward is in progress❗️ ⏰ Promotion Period: January 15th - Feburary 15th, 2025 👉 Register now and check more details at gate.io/campaigns/358

My thoughts: Can Anyone Govern Gaza? reader.foreignaffairs.com/2024/07/30/can…

My thoughts with Seth G. Jones: A Hezbollah War Would Be Israel’s Biggest Challenge in Decades - The militant group is experienced, well-armed, and prepared. foreignpolicy.com/2024/07/31/han…

Pretty amazing tradecraft: Bomb Smuggled Into Tehran Guesthouse Months Ago Killed Hamas Leader nytimes.com/2024/08/01/wor…

"The leader of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Ziyad al-Nakhalah, was staying next door," Bomb Smuggled Into Tehran Guesthouse Months Ago Killed Hamas Leader nytimes.com/2024/08/01/wor…

My thoughts on the challenges for Israel in a conflict with Hezbollah: foreignpolicy.com/2024/08/12/isr…

Another sad milestone: 12 years since Austin Tice was abducted in Syria.

A compact summary in The Atlantic of the arguments Phillips P. OBrien and I have put forth in our recently released CSIS report on why so much of the analysis of the Russian and Ukrainian militaries before the war was badly off. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

My thoughts on lessons from the 2006 war: csis.org/analysis/lesso…

My thoughts on the killing of Sinwar: foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/17/isr…

Russia Plotted to Put Incendiary Devices on Cargo Planes, Officials Say nytimes.com/2024/11/05/wor…

Having worked on #Syria full-time since the crisis began nearly 14yrs ago, there really is no understating how remarkable the losses imposed on #Assad's regime have been over the past week. A large reason for this lies with #HTS — a 🧵:

United Nations Ahrar al-Sham was the 1st such group to embrace the 'green' revolutionary flag, to adopt nationalist rhetoric, and to publicly critique the influence of 'external' (jihadist) actors. Criticism from Nusra, then #JFS-#HTS was swift -- but it's the model that #HTS has embraced.

My thoughts in the stunning developments in #Syria: lawfaremedia.org/article/how-to…

Excellent analysis (and no, I'm not biased): foreignpolicy.com/2024/12/09/ass…

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s drone unit, the Al-Shaheen Brigade, helped carry the Syrian opposition to Damascus. Reuben Dass assesses their capabilities in the Foreign Policy Essay.

"US foreign policy in the region could change on a dime... #Trump has already stated the US should have “nothing to do” with #Syria’s future. But to do nothing would give #ISIS a chance to surge once again." My latest in The New York Times: nytimes.com/2024/12/15/opi…

🧵SYRIA: Sharaa Arabiya interview • News it’s granted to Arabiya • Longest interview yet: Elections cud take 4 yrs,constitution 3 yrs • HTS to dissolve at nat’l conference • Israel was going to enter Syria • Flatters Saudi🇸🇦 • Syrian victory one for Arab Gulf vs Iran 1/3

I put together a post on "Islamic State-Related Arrests In the U.S. In 2024" to hopefully provide some context and show that the New Orleans attack fits with a higher attack plot tempo we saw in 2024 vs. 2023 and with a broader ex-ops picture globally. jihadologyplus.com/p/islamic-stat…

"For too long, the United States and Europe have turned a blind eye to Russia's "ghost fleet" of oil tankers, relying on often late and feckless sanctions to counter Moscow’s illicit economic lifeline," writes Benjamin Jensen. Read more: csis.org/analysis/how-e…

One Question Looming Over Israel-Hamas Truce Deal—Why Now? foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/15/isr…