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The Scientific Method Vs. AI: Is There Still Room For Theory? My take here: forbes.com/councils/forbe…

If I hear another VC say let's "double-click on that," unless he is literally double-clicking with his magic mouse on his MacBook screen, I am going to double-vomit in my mouth. I know, I know, language evolves, but does it have to evolve this way?

Things I read listened to and saw in 2024: ericnovik.com/2025/03/books-…

Clear message to fraud-apreneurs: go for it!

Slides for this talk are posted on my site! stablemarkets.netlify.app/talk/bayesian-…

That only works if you’re not actually crazy, I’m afraid.

Priorsense 1.1.0 now on CRAN discourse.mc-stan.org/t/priorsense-1…

I just put up a new video on the fundamentals of quantum computing, building up to a step-by-step walk-through of something known as Grover’s algorithm. Here's an excerpt of a quiz used to introduce the topic.

There's a Stan for Pharmacometrics event happening in Paris on July 4th. See the links below for details. Registration is free. discourse.mc-stan.org/t/stan-for-pha… stan4pmx2025.sciencesconf.org

StanBio Connect 2025: Advancing Biomedical Research with Stan This event is streaming live tomorrow and I’ll be speaking about some work on Bayesian causal inference with survival outcomes. stanbio.org

The release candidate for the next version of Stan is now available for testing! See linked post for new features and installation instructions. Thank you very much in advance to anyone who tests the release candidate and reports any issues. discourse.mc-stan.org/t/cmdstan-stan…

Morning jazz in Central Park is such a treat.

The loo R package is 10 years old today! Over 4 million downloads. Here's a nice blog post from Aki about the about the background, advances during the years, and a bit about the future:

Springer Nature book on machine learning is full of made-up citations. retractionwatch.com/2025/06/30/spr…

Top employers by state 1990 -- 2024 nytimes.com/interactive/20…

I haven't read this book, but the authors (Grant & Di Tanna) know their stuff, and they provide code for every script/engine. Meta- and mega-analysis one of those places where Bayes is natural and often easier than non-Bayes.

Learning Lean is what I think learning Japanese would be like for me. Totally foreign and yet exciting.

The Within-Orbit Adaptive Leapfrog No-U-Turn Sampler. WALNUTS adapts effectively to local curvature ...Moreover, WALNUTS successfully fits complex hierarchical Bayesian models that standard NUTS fails to handle reliably arxiv.org/pdf/2506.18746

hdbayes: An R Package for Bayesian Analysis of Generalized Linear Models Using Historical Data. arxiv.org/abs/2506.20060