🔥The 9th Round of Easy Loan, Earn $40 Reward is in progress❗️ ⏰ Promotion Period: January 15th - Feburary 15th, 2025 👉 Register now and check more details at gate.io/campaigns/358

A short summary of recent work with Aidan Coville and Sampada KC on the large amount of weight policymakers place on local evidence, now out at the JDE: evavivalt.com/2025/05/how-mu…

Excited to attend this workshop on #AI at UofT today.

Suppose that in the future newer models were used, with non-fake citations. You can always find at least one study that supports whatever wacky view. Heck, you could have AI design a bad study to cite. We're going to need new ways of evaluating and constraining bad takes.

This is probably the worst prediction graph I've ever seen.

A reminder for new grads that graduating into a weak economy has persistent negative wage effects

Wow. Wonder how this will change the space.

Looking forward to participating in this University of Toronto Forward Society (FOS) Lab workshop on cash transfers in Toronto June 26

Excited to be presenting at the Forecasting Research Institute tomorrow on forecasting social science results, based on experiences with the Social Science Prediction Platform. Looking forward to the discussion! Forecasting Research Institute

Grateful for the opportunity to play a small role in supporting this creative and important initiative led by Matt Clancy / Open Philanthropy and Daniel Goroff / Sloan Foundation Also serving on the advisory board: Doug Elmendorf, Ted Gayer, Jonathan Haskel, Margaret Levi, Paul Niehaus

Very last chance to sign up for this workshop on cash transfers and other social safety net programs, held in Toronto on June 26!

Should have bet on prediction markets. Cheap talk now, of course. polymarket.com/event/us-milit…

Delighted to have received an Alfred P. Sloan Foundation grant for the next phase of the Social Science Prediction Platform! Some exciting new developments coming soon... watch this space! Social Science Prediction Platform Sloan Foundation Economics U of T