M. Taylor Fravel (@fravel) 's Twitter Profile
M. Taylor Fravel

@fravel

Studying China's foreign and security policies @MIT and Director @MIT_SSP. Author of Active Defense: China's Military Strategy Since 1949 bit.ly/2E3WDE3

ID: 13956662

linkhttp://www.taylorfravel.com calendar_today25-02-2008 19:19:31

27,27K Tweet

48,48K Followers

2,2K Following

MIT SSP (@mit_ssp) 's Twitter Profile Photo

“If Trump wants to pursue a grand strategic project with the goal of keeping ‘America First’, nuclear nonproliferation — not just by adversaries but also by allies — is an essential pillar,” writes the Center for Nuclear Security Policy’s Vipin Narang and Pranay Vaddi with

“If Trump wants to pursue a grand strategic project with the goal of keeping ‘America First’, nuclear nonproliferation — not just by adversaries but also by allies — is an essential pillar,” writes the Center for Nuclear Security Policy’s <a href="/NarangVipin/">Vipin Narang</a> and <a href="/pranayrvaddi/">Pranay Vaddi</a> with
Brad Setser (@brad_setser) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The US runs a surplus in manufacturing trade with Canada, so if the goal of the tariffs is to reindustrialize the United States, the trade war with Canada is doubly counter-productive 1/

The US runs a surplus in manufacturing trade with Canada, so if the goal of the tariffs is to reindustrialize the United States, the trade war with Canada is doubly counter-productive

1/
MIT SSP (@mit_ssp) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Applications close this Friday, March 14! Are you a PhD student, junior faculty member or early/mid-career national security practitioner interested in using wargaming as an analytic or teaching tool? Apply for the 2025 Summer Wargaming Institute! The Wargaming Lab will provide

Applications close this Friday, March 14!
Are you a PhD student, junior faculty member or early/mid-career national security practitioner interested in using wargaming as an analytic or teaching tool? Apply for the 2025 Summer Wargaming Institute!

The Wargaming Lab will provide
M. Taylor Fravel (@fravel) 's Twitter Profile Photo

New book alert—delighted to have contributed a chapter to this excellent volume, expertly edited by Bard Nikolas Vik Steen. Contributors include Stephen Walt Arthur Kroeber Alice Ekman Bruno Tertrais François Heisbourg and many more who are not on this channel global.oup.com/academic/produ…

New book alert—delighted to have contributed a chapter to this excellent volume, expertly edited by Bard Nikolas Vik Steen.

Contributors include <a href="/stephenWalt/">Stephen Walt</a> <a href="/arkroeber/">Arthur Kroeber</a> <a href="/alice_ekman/">Alice Ekman</a> <a href="/BrunoTertrais/">Bruno Tertrais</a> <a href="/FHeisbourg/">François Heisbourg</a> and many more who are not on this channel

global.oup.com/academic/produ…
ChinaPower (@chinapowercsis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Why can a direct comparison of two countries’ defense budget be misleading? M. Taylor Fravel explains: “no two countries in their published defense budgets report spending on the exact same categories.” Learn more here: bit.ly/PRCDefenseSpen…

James Surowiecki (@jamessurowiecki) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from. They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers, as they say they did. Instead, for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us. So we

Alan Cole (@alanmcole) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I can confirm I've replicated the CEA calculation for the so-called "tariffs charged to the USA" on these charts. It is the Census FT900 trade data, exhibit 4, for year 2024, and the formula is MAX(10%,(imports-exports)/imports) per-country on a customs basis.

I can confirm I've replicated the CEA calculation for the so-called "tariffs charged to the USA" on these charts. 

It is the Census FT900 trade data, exhibit 4, for year 2024, and the formula is MAX(10%,(imports-exports)/imports) per-country on a customs basis.
Anna Wong (@annaeconomist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

We calculated that post Trump “put” today, the tariff mix is actually worse —China exports more consumer goods to US than other countries, so boosting that (to 125%) relative to others will boost the hit to consumption goods.

We calculated that post Trump “put” today, the tariff mix is actually worse —China exports more consumer goods to US than other countries, so boosting that (to 125%) relative to others will boost the hit to consumption  goods.
Justin Wolfers (@justinwolfers) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This chart was made in America by skilled artisans. It also provides important context for understanding our current tariff situation.

This chart was made in America by skilled artisans.

It also provides important context for understanding our current tariff situation.
Gerard DiPippo (@gdp1985) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The US tariff exclusions announced on April 11 have reduced the risk of imports collapsing for some of the largest categories of imports from China that the US relies upon. Most non-excluded but China-reliant goods are consumer goods. The big exception is lithium-ion batteries.

The US tariff exclusions announced on April 11 have reduced the risk of imports collapsing for some of the largest categories of imports from China that the US relies upon. Most non-excluded but China-reliant goods are consumer goods. The big exception is lithium-ion batteries.
Demetri (@dimi) 's Twitter Profile Photo

RIP #RichardArmitage, former deputy secretary of state & giant in the Asia policy field, who passed away on Sunday. I interviewed "Sir Rich" for Lunch with the FT in 2007. #FreeToRead at on.ft.com/3YwE8Ae

Yuhua Wang (@yuhuawang5) 's Twitter Profile Photo

CPRP is calling for presentations for Fall 2025. Since 2022, we have hosted 40 presentations and accumulated almost 1,000 email subscribers. We promise high-quality, constructive feedback for work in progress in any stages. Consider submitting your paper by May 15.

CALL TO ACTIVISM (@calltoactivism) 's Twitter Profile Photo

BREAKING: In an absolutely shocking clip, Karoline Leavitt says there will be NO reduction of tariffs on China despite Trump saying otherwise. This is an utter disaster for the economy and the stock market.