🔥The 9th Round of Easy Loan, Earn $40 Reward is in progress❗️ ⏰ Promotion Period: January 15th - Feburary 15th, 2025 👉 Register now and check more details at gate.io/campaigns/358

🚨NEW PAPER🚨 w/ Elmendorf & Hubbard. We find: - Growth-enhancing policies almost certainly cannot stabilize federal debt on their own - But such policies can reduce the tax hikes/spending cuts needed to stabilize debt - We need more research here

See below for a thread on our new working paper on the 2024 congressional primary and general elections. Feedback welcome!

IMPORTANT new paper that u should read -There is a 14-pt bump when voters learn that a candidate agrees with them -BUT: Voters assume the position of a candidate based on the national brand of the party. They ASSUME the stereotypical position. (frm David Broockman Josh Kalla etc)

Sign up today for next Monday's timely conversation on the state of civic technology in the U.S. government. bit.ly/3Hg4CjO

Version 2.0 of the National Elections Database is online! nationalelectionsdatabase.com We now cover presidential and parliamentary elections 1789–2023, extending the post-1945 data of Electoral Turnovers The Review of Economic Studies (academic.oup.com/restud/advance…). w/ Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet

Some reflections on the 10 year anniversary of the LaCour retraction

Good piece on how the file-drawer problem exists in industry too

Congratulations to Purdue Boilermakers for keeping undergraduate tuition costs frozen for the 14th year in a row. It's a model of fiscal restraint and commitment to student affordability.

Check out this great resource from Shiro Kuriwaki on visualizing ticket-splitting rates. Really cool data in here!

What’s the return on government support for R&D? To try to get a credible answer, Open Philanthropy and Sloan Foundation are committing up to $1 million to trying something new: we call it a Pop-Up Journal. Today, we’re inviting organizations to bid on a five-year contract to

Really important paper from Seth J. Hill! "I find minimum wage increases between 2006 and 2019 led to more homelessness in American municipalities. This finding could help explain why homelessness surged in places that substantially increased minimum wages like NYC Seattle & SF"

Epsilon Theory contributor and all-around good human being Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌 pauses from walking the world to take a first cut at a grand unified theory of urban planning! "How to Build the Perfect City" (no paywall on this one ... thanks, Chris!) 🧵

A huge disappointment and unforced error. The housing shortage in Connecticut is driving an affordability crisis that is pricing workers and families out. This bill would have helped. Hoping the governor works with legislators to get something big done in the special session.

Thank you for your patience while we sorted out some technical difficulties! Our apologies for the tabulation error; all fixed now, no change to results. Final round of RCV: Cuomo leads Mamdani 57-43. Yale Poll /YouGov, 6/17-6/22, N=645 NYC RVs

In the latest Yale Poll, a plurality of New Yorkers oppose “sore loser” laws. About 49% of respondents who selected Mamdani first oppose sore loser laws; 41% of Cuomo respondents. yalepolling.substack.com/p/new-yoll-city

Nice to see our Yale Poll/YouGov survey included in the NYT polling average!