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Dangerous situation for ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces in the Donbass as the russian 🇷🇺 breakthrough between Kostiantynivka and Pokrovsk continue. Ukrainian engineering units also started digging a defensive line west of the Donbass region. 🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️

'Protection cannot be something we consider for defending our critical assets. Instead, it must become integral to everything we do – it is a building block of modern corps warfighting' writes Lt Gen Sir Ralph Wooddisse. rusi.org/explore-our-re…

Interesting investigative piece. danwatch.dk/en/serious-sec…

Very unfortunate if his resignation is accepted. Drapatyi is one of the best commanders in the AFU.

European defence spending has been rising for a while, but Allies won't be hitting 5% across the board in this decade without a mountain of fudge.

Worth noting that if NATO allies do agree to 3.5% military spending plus 1.5% on infrastructure and defence-related spending, this is an even bigger stretch than it sounds, because the existing spending levels include a fair bit of stuff that rightfully belongs in the 1.5%.

Now also in The Economist print edition: my piece on Russia’s centuries old negotiations manual and why showing strength is the way to peace in Ukraine🇺🇦 .

Having set out some views on ambitions for the SDR ahead of its publication, I’ve now returned to evaluate the aspects looking at transformation of the Armed Forces. It has a clear vision as a target, but the devil is unsurprisingly in the detail, which needs serious scrutiny.

Here’s stat for the ages👇 “…the Air Ministry built 9,000 miles of runway in six years…”

I am very pleased that our European partners -- through the EU commission -- are leveling a new round of sanctions against Russia for their barbaric invasion of Ukraine. This round is different because it is going after Chinese companies that prop up Putin’s war machine. Without

Asked what is the single most important thing Ukraine needs for its war effort — drones, AI, missiles, air defense ? — Alexander Kamyshin didn’t hesitate: What I need most is *propellant* European Business Summits

This might be the most telegraphed punch in military history. The April 2024 ALBM attack on the 30N6E radar, from outside Iran’s borders, should have created a sense of creeping dread. Yet it seems public displays of breathtaking confidence were real, not bluster

One lesson of Ukraine & Iran is that air power sets the conditions in which any war unfolds. Ukr succeeded in frustrating Russia's much larger air force, both because of its air-defence dispersal in the first day of war & Ru air force weaknesses. Iran's air-defences collapsed.

Quick 🧵 on where we are right now. Calls for de-escalation (a reflex for diplomats) are going to fall on deaf ears. Israel chose a war; Israel and Iran are on an escalatory path. If anything can push them off that path it will probably be military constraints, not diplomacy.

Can we just call them 'missiles' again?

Operation Rising Lion has showcased Israel's conventional superiority over Iran, highlighting the importance of intelligence, surprise, and strong air and missile defence. But for now, the impact on Iran’s nuclear programme is more uncertain, write Matthew Savill and Darya Dolzikova.

Juliana Suess 🎉A huge thank you to everyone who joined us at #LWC25! We're incredibly grateful to our speakers, our colleagues at British Army 🇬🇧, and all our RUSI staff whose hard work made this conference such a success. We can't wait to see you next year!

As Soviet-era armored vehicle stockpiles near exhaustion, Russia’s ability to build new tanks is under scrutiny. We investigated the current T-90M production rate and how it’s changed over time notes.citeam.org/eng_t90

Conflict Intelligence Team (CIT), a respected investigative group that has tracked Russian military affairs for over a decade, has published a new report on the production of T-90 tanks. 🧵Thread about their key findings on Russia’s tank production and expansion efforts:

1/ Time for the second BTRZ thread! This time we’ll take a look into the state of BMP refurbishment and production rate.