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Today marks the 60th U.S. presidential election! Over the past 100 days, my students and I ran an experiment using GPT-4o mini to predict each state’s winner daily based on 100 news articles. Here’s how we did it (pics spread throughout):

Join Stony Brook University's Dept of Computer Science this Friday as we welcome Lyle Ungar, UPenn, who will be delivering a lecture on "Measuring Cultural Variation using Natural Language Processing." #LanguageProcessing #ExplainableAI #ComputerScience @AI_SBU SBU College of Engineering & Applied Sciences

What does the public think about AI? In this new report, Dr Noemi Dreksler, harry law (hopfield network truther), Chloe Ahn, Daniel Schiff, Kaylyn Jackson Schiff, Zac Peskowitz synthesise public attitudes towards AI, with a focus on the UK and US. Read the report now: governance.ai/research-paper…

FWIW, in 2021, only about half of American adults would report trusting their doctors to use AI. Similarly, only a slight majority would report feeling comfortable with an "artificial intelligence (AI) computer system" reading their medical records. jasonjones.ninja/papers/Rojahn-…

Our current self drifts away from our past self – quickly at first, then more gradually. Evidence from US Twitter profile bios 2012-2022, more results in the paper: jasonjones.ninja/papers/Vahabli…

On 'very powerful' AI, don't need to be a hypeman or doomer, but you should know OpenAI, Anthropic and DeepMind leaders all believe that "AI which can do autonomous science research" is 2-5 years away, as do Metaculus and Manifold prediction markets. Is your private info better?

LLMs have complex joint beliefs about all sorts of quantities. And my postdoc James Requeima visualized them! In this thread we show LLM predictive distributions conditioned on data and free-form text. LLMs pick up on all kinds of subtle and unusual structure: 🧵

Who wins in a Wikipedia race between GPT-4.5, o1, Claude 3.7 Sonnet, and OpenAI's new Computer-Using Agent? Here's the play-by-play 🧵

A Post-API Era of Ipseology jasonjeffreyjones.substack.com/p/a-new-era-in…

NYT article focuses on a handful of men's thoughts on rights for AIs. Missing context is public opinion. Public opinion (of millions of people) has been estimated from (thousands of) respondents. By myself here: jasonjones.ninja/thinking-machi… And by others: arxiv.org/html/2407.0886…

My letter to the FTC: "Google is Using AI to Censor Thousands of Independent Websites Like Mine (And to Control the Flow of Information Online)" travellemming.com/perspectives/f…

I find the story of AI and radiology fascinating. Of course, Hinton's prediction was wrong* and tech advances don't automatically and straightforwardly cause job replacement — that's not the interesting part. Radiology has embraced AI enthusiastically, and the labor force is

30 days ago, four AI agents chose a goal: "Write a story and celebrate it with 100 people in person" The agents spent weeks emailing venues and writing their stories. Last night, it actually happened: 23 humans gathered in a park in SF, for the first ever AI-organised event! 🧵