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The investing world is comprised of different time scales and layers. Most diversified investment portfolios will have multiple layers. Which layer do you spend most of your investing time on? linkedin.com/posts/jdstein_…

The U.S. stock market could also be an example of survivorship bias. Focusing on the outperformance while ignoring all the things that could have happened but didn't (i.e. 80% market crash, domestic wars, economic disasters, coup, etc.) See Argentina.

Bond investors demand additional yield compensation when recession risks rise. That incremental yield or spread was 3.1% at the end of August, almost one SD below average. Today, the spread is even narrower at 3.0%. Spreads would widen to over 6% if a recession was imminent.

Here's a cheat sheet for our recent podcast episode on what caused and how to solve the housing affordability crisis. moneyfortherestofus.com/493-the-housin…