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The US bombing of Iranian nuclear sites does not “send a message” to Kim Jong Un- it's nothing new for North Korea, which has always taken the prospect of US military strike very seriously.

Sheena explains how complicated deterrence of China is. She asks five questions. But does not address the two most critical ones IMO: do U.S. interests justify getting into a major war w/ China; what are the possible paths to nuclear conflict? lawfaremedia.org/article/planni…

It makes sense for Lee not to attend this time. 1) Leaving aside that the summit is primarily about European security/US-NATO relations to begin with, given what's happening in the Middle East, there'd presumably be even less room to discuss Asia-Pacific in any serious manner.

Is a Spheres of Influence grand strategy workable/desirable for the U.S.? I loved being on the Council on Foreign Relations podcast w/ James M. Lindsay and explaining why I answer NO to both questions. cfr.org/podcasts/tpi/n…

S. Korea rejects confrontation with China while maintaining the US alliance as its security pillar. 🇰🇷 New President Lee Jae-myung promotes “peace through dialogue,” emphasizing, “No matter how expensive, peace is better than war.” My op-ed National Interest w/ Dave Kang 🔗🧵👇

In my latest for Responsible Statecraft, I explain why it makes sense that ROK Pres Lee Jae Myung passed on this year's NATO summit. Long story short, the stakes and benefits involved weren't significant, and Lee made a sensible decision in line with his principle of pragmatic diplomacy.

Pleased to meet with the third cohort of Penn Project on the Future of U.S.-China Relations fellows and Neysun Mahboubi this week. They are established leaders in national security, economics, trade & tech. Critical issues for the future of U.S.-China relations.

Can the expanded BRICS survive 'America First'? In my latest w/ @foreignpolicy I answer YES – but only if the club adopts a strategy of reassurance, retrenchment, and reinforcement. foreignpolicy.com/2025/07/02/bri…

For any Korean readers, I have an interview in 한국일보. Some quotes below: 1. 가자지구 문제 해결 없는 중동 아브라함 협정 확장은 위험 2. 이란 핵 야망 포기 유도, 미완 공습이 망쳐 3. 핵 협상은 부동산 거래 아냐, 트럼프가 오해 hankookilbo.com/News/Read/A202…